Three games of footy today, Fev likes the look of one upset in particular.
Carlton v Geelong
The Cats were sluggish in the opening exchanges last time out, with the quality they possess, don’t expect them to make the same mistake in two weeks. I’m struggling to see anything other than a Geelong win today, the combination of Dangerfield and Selwood is too good to slip up in a game like this. At $1.1 there isn’t much value in tipping the Cats, therefore I’m going to back them to win by 40+ at $1.7.
If you read my tips regularly you’ll know by now I’m a fan of the Tomahawk, the big man can be very dangerous on his day. Last time out he kicked four, which was the fifth time he booted three or more this season. Hawkins has lacked consistency this season, but I’m backing him to string two good games together and kick four or more today at $2.55.
Collingwood v Western Bulldogs
The Bulldogs were sitting pretty before they lost a few players to injury, they’ve slumped to three losses this season, the latest being against GWS. The Dogs have conceded the least amount of goals in the comp this season, this defence will be needed against a Pies team who’ve found their shooting boots, they’ve slotted 257 points in the last two games.
I’m taking on Western Bulldogs today, the Pies have the momentum, whereas the Dogs are showing signs that the wheels might be falling off their finals mission. Collingwood are massively over priced at $2.9, get on!
Injuries to big players has put a lot of pressure on Pendlebury this season, and the boy has handled it. In every game this season he’s had 25+ disposals and three times having 34+. On the MCG he’s a good bet to add another 30+ to his name, get on him to do so at $1.89.
West Coast v Gold Coast
Everything looks rosy for the Eagles, which can’t be said for Gold Coast. They’ve lost their last six games and have conceded a s**t load of points doing so. With such contrasting records you can’t pick anything other than an Eagles win, and a big one at that. West Coast to win by 69+ at $1.91 is my bet for the game.
Looking for a bit of value, get on Matt Priddis to have over 30 disposals and Jack Darling to kick three or more at $3.8.