It should be a thrilling final round of Footy, mad even better by Fev's tips!
Geelong v Melbourne
The Demons were disappointing going down to the Blues last week by 20 points, where as Geelong had a percentage booster by smashing Brisbane by 60 points. Home ground advantage seems to be the story of the season for many clubs, and Geelong are no different. The Cats have won six from seven at the venue this season. That said, Melbourne have fond memories of the Simonds Stadium, a ground they won at in 2015.
Dangerfield will be looking to sign of the regular season in style. The ex Adelaide player has had a year to remember at his new club. He’s had over 30 disposals twelve times this season and over 40 twice including that 48! He’s my tip to have 35+ at a handsome $2.8.
Essendon v Carlton
Essendon have only won two games this season, whereas the Blues have notched up seven. Carlton are coming off the back of an impressive win against Melbourne last time out, where as Essendon went down to Western Bulldogs.
I expect this to be a real scrap but expect Cripps and Gibbs to stand out, the Blues have a lot better individuals on paper, they’ll win, get on the $1.36. I’ve mentioned Cripps, he’s had a ripping year, he’s averaged just under 27 disposals, and he’s kicked over 30 in four of his last five games. Get on him to have 30+ more today at $2.2.
Sydney Swans v Richmond
The Tigers were pretty shocking last week, they went down to St Kilda, making countless errors. They may have defeated the Swans last time these two met, but if they are to repeat that they need to drastically turn-around their recent form. Richmond have relied far too heavily on Martin this season, however he’ll find it tough going against three of the best midfielders in the comp.
Get on the Swans to cruise to victory and claim the minor premiership, 60+ at $2.2 looks the only value bet. Buddy might be out of the Coleman (unless he has a day to remember), however I still expect him to find it pretty easy against this Tigers defence, get on him to kick 4+ at $1.45.
Gold Coast v Port Adelaide
The only reason why Gold Coast have been competitive in some games is because of Tom lynch, he might be out of the Coleman now but he’s still had a vintage season. Suns need to get plenty of supply to the big man to stand a chance, but I worry they might get dominated by Wines, Boak and Gray in the middle.
Mainly due to the Lynch threat I’m going to get on the Suns +18.5, expect this to be a tight scrappy game. Sorry to mention him again, but Tom Lynch is worth backing at $2.5 to kick four or more today.
North Melbourne v GWS
A few of the North legends know they’ll be lining up in their second to last game (depending on their finals run). They’ll be disappointed by this but will still want to sign off in style. However given the run they’re in and the antics this week, I just can’t see how this will happen. Mathematically GWS can still finish top, somehow, however the young side are more likely to finish 5th.
GWS will win this game up front, they’ve got class where it counts with Cameron, Johnson and even Patton. Get on the Sydney based team to get the job done at $1.5, and also have a go at Johnson to kick three or more at $3.25.