Melbourne Stars v Brisbane Heat

Tonight could be the easiest Big Bash fixture to date to call. The Stars are playing for a home semi final and are hitting good form, winning four on the bounce, whereas the Heat are still sitting bottom of the ladder with only the wooden spoon to play for. To make it even more one-sided, the Heat travel to the MCG, however they’re aided by Joe Burns who has been unavailable for the majority of the competition.

Melbourne lost their first two fixtures this year, but since then have gone on a four-game unbeaten run, mainly built on the strength of their bowling. The average score against them in these four games has been 145, which is pretty misely when you look at their batting line-up. However, the Stars will be without Hastings, Maxwell, Faulkner and Boland, who are all away on international duty.

In the batting department this is less of a worry as the two Poms, KP and Luke wright have scored the majority of the runs. Peter Handscomb looked in decent form last time out and is averaging 56 this year however they’ll be wanting more going into finals from Stoinis who has got 107 runs in six innings.

Brisbane Heat beat an injury-hit Sixers last time but, as mentioned, this wasn’t enough to get them off the bottom. The Heat have struggled the whole way through this competition, especially with the ball, with not one bowler taking over four wickets. Badree was meant to be the spearhead of the attack - he’s kept the run rate down but has failed to take wickets to put pressure on middle to lower orders. Batting wise, they have Lynn and that’s about it. Burns has come in to add a bit of class but he’s never going to steal the show in T20 cricket.

Stars are massive favourites but I can’t see this going any other way even with so many players away with Australia. If the Stars dismiss Lynn early then Heat will be in a world of trouble, and I’d also back Stars to chase down any total against this bowling attack. Don’t be put off by the price.
Melbourne Stars - 1pt @ 1.54

Top Adelaide Strikers Batsman

As per usual with the Brisbane Heat Top Batsman betting, Chris Lynn leads the market by a distance and quite rightly so. However, we would rather look for a decent outsider in case he slips up. Lendl Simmons has had a poor competition to date, scoring only 133 runs, but he hit them well last time out. Simmons will have had plenty of experience playing spin after his time in India and he’ll be facing Beer and Zampa, two bowlers he shouldn’t have a problem with. We’re backing him to top score at $5 which seems overs for an overseas opener, regardless of form.
Lendl Simmons - 1pt @ 5.00

Top Melbourne Stars Batsman

The Melbourne Stars batsmen will be licking their lips against this attack! Kevin Pietersen heads the market but has had trouble with the ball turning away with him so even though Badree hasn’t taken many wickets this year, we still fear he could get KP. Luke Wright has been hitting them very well at the top of the order and he should have no problem facing the Heat openers. We’re backing Wright to tuck in and top score at $4.
Luke Wright - 1pt @ 4.00

Top Melbourne Stars Bowler

Michael Beer has opened the bowling in the last two fixtures and seems overs to be top bowler for the Stars at $6.5 with Bet365, especially as he’s $4.5 with one bookie. Beer has only taken four wickets in the competition to date, but with Maxwell, Boland, Faulkner and Hastings missing there pressure on him to take a few scalps.
Michael Beer - 1pt @ 6.5

Total Six's

Our spread betting tip is a bit different today, normally we have a punt on a match performance bet but nothing seems to offer value today as there are no real all rounders playing or class keeper batsmen. The MCG has seen plenty of sixes last year and quite strangely a lack of fours. If Chris Lynn does get going he can clear the fence with ease! He’s hit 20 sixs this year and the Heat in total have hit 51 sixes in their 7 games. Stars have been less prolific and have hit 24 sixes. However they’ll be facing one of the worst bowling attacks in the league, that added with the Stars bowling attack being weakened, six’s looks the bet for us.

You can buy 11.5 six’s, which is essentially backing there to be 12 or more sixes, every six is worth your stake. If you buy at $10 per six you’ll make $10 for every six hit over 11.5. For example, if there were 15 sixes in the game you’d win $35. Being quite a controlled market our bigger punters might want to increase there stake.

Or if you’re feeling more adventures and want to win more money then you have a go at the Multi-sixes. Which multiplies the first innings sixes by the second innings sixes, we’re buying at 34. There for if both teams hit six 6’s we will be making profit (36 points). If both teams clear the fence with ease we’ll be in for a big profit. For example if the Stars bat first and hit ten 6’s and then the Heat his seven in return you’ll get 70 points backing making $340.

Click through to the Sporting Index website for further information.
Over 11.5 - 1pt @ 11.5