Four of the five meetings between these two in Sydney have had fewer than three goals.
Second hosts third in this top of the table clash with the Wanderers going into it having won their last five games, more wins than they managed in the whole of last season when they finished down in ninth. The Roar have drawn three of their last four to lose their position at the top of the table to Melbourne Victory, but this is also a vast improvement on their bottom-half finish last term.
Though the Wanderers have won their last five, the highest current position of any of those sides they beat in the table is the Jets in 5th. Indeed, they’ve also played bottom of the table Adelaide in a game they drew, whilst both their defeats this season came in their only meetings with teams currently in the top-four, away to Sydney and at home to Brisbane themselves in their opening game of the season. Last season their record against top-four finishers was W1-D1-L4, but that whole season needs an asterisk put next to it as they struggled to combine domestic commitments with their Champions League and World Club Cup challenges (which suggested a side far better than ninth best in the A-League).
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Whilst their defence has remained excellent this season, Brisbane’s slight dip in the last few weeks can be put down to their goals drying up as they’ve scored just three in their last four having scored 10 in their first four. Their only away win came against the Wanderers as they lost at Wellington and drew at Newcastle and at Sydney. Brisbane’s have drawn half their last 12 away games against top-half sides with seven of the matches having fewer than three goals.
Four of the five meetings between these two at the Parramatta Stadium since the Wanderers were formed have had fewer than three goals, the exception being their encounter earlier this season which the Roar won 3-1. Indeed Brisbane haven’t lost this fixture since the first meeting back in 2012/13 and as a result we’d be against the Wanderers at around evens, but the best play looks to be in the goals market.