Tom has a two-point nap in Race 2 at Warwick Farm on Wednesday. Read his tips here.
Ballarat R1 No.6 - JUNGLE SUN
Has been progressin well as he continues to step up in trip, his effort over the 1400m at Sandown was good considering he basically held his position in running to the line. He one batted a touch and gave me every indication that he's ready for the mile at this point of his campaign. Doesnt look a whole lot of speed so I fancy he'll roll to the front and run things to suit himself. If he gets a decent enough time of it he'll win.
Jungle Sun - 1pt @ 2.0
Ballarat R3 No.2 - FABULONH
He was excellent at Warrnambool when really copping a pretty ordinary steer, was forced to try and make ground in the worst part of the track and he had traffic problems aswell. Like he's drawn out with the blinkers going on for the first time, anticipate he'll be sharp out of the stalls early and all he needs is to obtain clear running from the 400m and he'll be very hard to beat. Like him at 1400m/third-up too!
Fabulonh - 1pt @ 4.25
Ballarat R5 No.6 - DUGAN
Was nothing but impressive a 4 weeks ago at Mornington when winning (was a month between runs and 1400m back to 1200m) from just behind the speed. Really showed plenty of zip straightening to win running away from them. Turns out he beat a pretty smart one in Purrpussful who has since gone on to run well in G2 company. Those form lines are standing up and he has again been kept on the fresh side. Friendly draw means he'll be box seating and have every chance in running.
Dugan - 1pt @ 6.0
Warwick Farm R2 No.1 - CHETWOOD (NAP)
He looks a really smart 3yo this fella, his win on debut at Canterbury certainly did nothing to diminish those expectations. Jumped well, led throughout and basically just brained them running quite slick time. Expect he'll only have improved for the run and despite the weight he'll again prove far too good for them. Can elect to take a sit if need be from the good draw but fancy they'll lead again.
Chetwood - 2pts @ 1.9
Warwick Farm R5 No.7 - FALKENBERG
She was mighty impressive at Hawkesbury two weeks ago when first-up over the 1400m. Rolled to the leaders girth, settled, then proceeded to let down nicely late to score comfortably. She gave the impression that a mile wont be any sort of obstacle and you can only assume that the fact she only came into that run fresh off one trial means there is plenty of improvement in the tank. McEvoy sticks which is a great lead in for punters and she looks a genuine Saturday horse in time.
Falkenberg - 1pt @ 3.8
Doomben R3 No.8 - ELUSIVE ELEMENT (each-way)
He's had a few chances but this really does look as good as any for him to break through, his effort at the Sunshine Coast when chasing/hitting the line late to just miss was very good over the 1400m. Dont necessarily think they went that quick so his effort has merit (and may have just peaked on his run late), speed looks ok on paper here and even with that being the case i'd like to see him position up a pair or two closer in the run considering he's back to 1350m. If he box seats I reckon he's a huge chance against an average bunch.
Elusive Element - 0.5pts e/w @ 6.0