Tom Gilmore's best bets for Terang, Gosford, and Moonee Valley this Thursday 24th March.
Terang R1 No.9 - INNOCENT I AM
Went around very well fancied off the back of some impressive trials in her first two starts mid 2015 but was disappointing on face value on both occasions. Has been given time to physically and mentally mature and going off her recent hitout at Cranbourne (where she had the better of Thames Court/recent winner in town) she's come back well. Expect she'll fly the lids over the 1000m, lead them up and take plenty of catching over the final furlong.
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Innocent I am - 1pt @ 6.00
Terang R3 No.2 - ASERA
He's been given a month to freshen up for this drop back to 1400m and I reckon thats a promising formula, just found the 1700m a bit much at Sale but he didnt relent and only went down narrowly (winner of that was stiff not to recently win again). M.Dee will be positive early looking to take up a position and at this point of his prep he should be a touch too strong/fit for this lot. Thought he might measure up midweek in town at some point this prep.
Asera - 1pt @ 3.50
Gosford R3 No.16 - ANGHARAD
Had three trials in preparation for this after a disappointing debut back in October behind Calliope, recent hitout was very good - she jumped well, travelled sweetly and responded quickly when asked to lengthen. Big wrap out of that heat was the fact she had the better of Yankee Rose who has since come out and run enormously to finish runner-up in the Golden Slipper. Clark can either lead/box seat from the good draw and be very hard to beat.
Angharad - 1pt @ 4.60
Moonee Valley R1 No.11 - CLEMENCY
Made ground when forced to go back to the worst part of the track three weeks ago over the mile at Sandown, beat a low flying Testability and 8th out of the race has since come out and won well midweek. Will box seat/get a track into the race and should go very close. Drop back to the 1500m isnt an issue, the mile really tested her so think the stable may have found the sweet-spot.
Clemency - 1pt @ 3.30
Moonee Valley R3 No.7 - STELLAR COLLISION
Was excellent fresh here at The Valley a month ago over the 1000m when never really comfortable in transit but still good enough to find the line and win. Went to the 1200m down the Flemington straight and performed ok without being brilliant, looked a touch lost and didnt really knuckle down like he can. Back to The Valley/third-up major positives and he's drawn a kind marble. Can box seat and by the one ready to pounce at the 400m.
Stellar Collision - 1pt @ 3.80
Moonee Valley R5 No.2 - SHEIDEL
She could be very well too good and too speedy for this lot in what is the last 955m challenge of the season, comes across from WA where she's built an imposing record over the sprint trips, principally suited to the 1000m. Draws out but thats no real concern as she has incredible gate speed and her jumpout at Flemington 18/3 was scintillating. Just far too classy for what is a slick field.
Sheidel - 1pt @ 2.90
Moonee Valley R6 No.12 - KINGLIKE (each-way)
Really good colt this and I can just see everything panning out for him tonight, thought his run fresh at Randwick over the 1000m was excellent for a horse having his first crack on the wrong leg, just beaten by English (trialled up super/live G1 chance) which is no knock. Back to Melbourne to a track he's won at previously and he maps for the run of the race. Expect that trip/run has tightened him up significantly and as a result he'll go close at a big price. Stable have been convinced he has the capability to take out a G1 sprint.
Kinglike - 0.5pts e/w @ 8.00