Tom Gilmore's best bets for Echuca, Cranbourne and Sapphire Coast this Friday.
Echuca R2 No.12 - TRIS (x2 NAP)
Thought this filly was excellent in the $250,000 VOBIS bonus event two weeks ago at Bendigo in a race that rated highly (quicker than BM70 race prior). She'll take improvement from that and back to this grade she looks mighty hard to beat, expect her to be positive early and just far too good for them. Pretty keen to back her at the $2.
Tris - 2pt @ 1.85
Echuca R3 No.7 - KUZNETSOVA (x2 points)
Very good two weeks ago at Ballarat on debut over the 1000m, was strong through the line to just miss, that winner has since gone on to dominate at Bendigo in good fashion (looks promising!) and the third horse won yesterday at Warrnambool. Those formlines read extremely well for this and with natural improvement/from the good draw she'll box seat and be given every chance. The 1200m looks a positive, too.
Kuznetsova - 1pt @ 1.65
Cranbourne R5 No.5 - HI SPUN
Like the run this mare gets on the map from the inside draw, will punch up and more than likely hold them out to lead comfortably (speed doesnt look too strong). She's racing in good touch, liked her win over the 1450m a month ago at Kilmore and was then good at Pakenham over the mile two weeks ago where she just found a genuine 1600m a bit much (quinella swooped). Her effort was still very good v. the pattern, think 1500m is right in the sweet spot and bias might play in her favour!
Hi Spun - 1pt @ 4.00
Cranbourne R6 No.8 - MARAUDAMISS
She's been nothing but dominant in her two runs since returning from a spell at Sandown, the most recent win was huge where she just coasted to win by an extending 9 length margin. Granted the ground was soft that day at Yarra Valley but she has performed just as well on top of the ground in the past. At the weights she looks mighty hard to beat and again gets a good run on the map, arguably hasnt reached her peak this campaign (did have a 9 month layoff), if she has again improved then look out!
Maraudamiss - 1pt @ 2.25
Sapphire Coast R4 No.3 - FOR ME DAD
She was strong fresh at Canberra over the 1000m despite fitness just telling late, looks a big improver and this field certainly wont hold any surprises. Was beaten on the occasion by a horse who'd performed admirably at G3 level in the past (also had the charmed run leading). Expect that form to hold up today, soft track/rail true - should just lead and win, really.
For Me Dad - 1pt @ 1.80
Sapphire Coast R6 No.6 - SEA HOME
Coming back to 1200m on this mare intrigues me, especially with the cut out of the ground. Was six weeks between runs when performing well over the 1400m at Nowra, she just was no match for a better one on the day. You'd think she'd improve for the run and considering she'll be handy to them throughout (may even lead), she could very well prove hard to beat if she can pinch a margin at the turn.
Sea Home - 1pt @ 5.50