Tom Gilmore's best bets for Friday, May 13th.
Geelong R1 No.3 - MERCY MAY
Like the fact this filly looks the natural leader in a race really lacking speed on paper, was quite good three weeks ago over the 1300m in a race where she went hard on-speed and set it up for a good horse in Spiral (since competitive Saturday grade/Flemington) who swooped, and runner-up has since come out and won. If you get the right run leading on the synthetic surface down at Geelong, often you're very hard to run down. Claim from B.Allen a huge plus, kid is flying!
Mercy May - 1pt @ 4.60
Geelong R2 No.2 - GALILEO'S PEARL
The Mick Kent stable is flying and I see no reason why this wont continue here with this fella, was terrific in his first two runs this prep at a mile before jumping to 2000m three weeks ago at Moe. Box-seated while eventual winner led/too strong, he just peaked on his run and I have no doubt that with the run at the trip under his belt he'll be improved 2-3 lengths for that. Not sure he loved the soft track either so another positive seeing him back on top of the ground. Can lead/box-seat and be too good.
Galileos Pearl - 1pt @ 2.30
Geelong R7 No.5 - PUNT CLUB
If they ride this 3yo correctly, which is straight to the front and dont look back, then he'll be very hard to beat. His effort at Caulfield two weeks ago over the 1200m when setting a good gallop mid-race reads better than what it looked, only really faded late - he was right there even to the 75m mark (quinella swooped from the rear). Drop back to the 1000m is big tick in my book and with any sort of peace I cant really see them catching him.
Punt Club - 1pt @ 3.40
Cranbourne R1 No.11 - ROSIE CLARE
Loved the improvement she showed when stepping to the mile for the first time at Moe three weeks ago, just found one better than ran to a career PB. She gave every indication that a further step up in trip would suit and home-track/cut out of the ground are key factors. Has continued to get better and better with each start and should get the right run on the map, this really is a poor race and as a result expecting can breakthrough tonight.
Rosie Clare - 1pt @ 4.20
Cranbourne R3 No.2 - BETTER STRIKE (x2 NAP)
Promising filly this who went close to toppling some really nice horses last prep, most notably excellent run only a length off the then flying Love Days (Stakes-class filly), then was rolled at a short quote when leading at Geelong but it appears she had just come to the end of her preparation. Has jumped out nicely a few times for her return and from the wide draw will jump straight to the lead and take plenty of catching. Slight query on a soft track but happy to assume she'll get through the ground.
Better Strike - 1pt @ 2.50
Cranbourne R8 No.6 - KING WAY
Has some ability this fella but has proven tough to catch thus far in his four Australian starts to date, was impressed by his effort when he saw cut out of the ground for the first time at Moonee Valley in May of last year, made good ground over the 1500m against the pattern and looked like a coming winner. Has had setbacks/issues but was pleased with his recent trial at Cranbourne. Drawn awkwardly but can position up midfield and hit the line over the top late.
King Way - 1pt @ 6.00