Pakenham R2 No.9 - MYSTICAL STAR
Liked effort second-up/mile here at Pakenham on the pro-ride prior to failure on a bog track at Cranbourne (very forgiving), keen he'll improve back on top of the ground. That effort here 4 weeks ago rated ok, winner Perfect Lifeline jumped to 2000m in town and made excellent ground late in a race dominated by the on-pacers, that form should hold him in good stead here and he maps for the PR of the race. Strikes a very winnable race!
Mystical Star - 1pt @ 3.60
Pakenham R3 No.2 - EXACTING
Gets one more go with me here after handing-up a fairly soft lead second-up/1400m here a week ago (winner looks smart!), like the quick back-up and the mile looks like it'll suit. Like the wide draw for him too, he's fairly one-paced so I'd like to see him cross and find the fence (doesn't look mad speed to his inside), if he can settle mid-race then up the tempo from the 600m he should be fit enough to hold off whats a fairly average bunch.
Exacting - 1pt @ 3.50
Pakenham R5 No.5 - OSTERIA
Had excuses when failing jumping from 1300m to 1600m at latest, back to 1400m is already an enormous tick. Runs prior to that failure where good, he pushed Diamond Baroness over the 1300m here in early June (city class mare) and ran a bottler fresh over 1200m. Reckon he draws well here to swoop (they came down the outside fence last meeting) so he should find the 'A' ground and gets the right kind of tempo mid-race, will be strong late!
Osteria - 1pt @ 5.00
Pakenham R8 No.5 - LAKE JACKSON (x2 NAP)
Clear best of the day this fella, returning to Victoria after a sting interstate - latest outing was at Gawler when I thought under the circumstances he went well, was wide/worse than midfield but sustained a run to hit the line ok. That was 1500m, his pet trip is the mile and back on top of the ground/drop in grade suits. Despite what looks like an 'average' record, he's been competitive with some high-class 3yo's, last time in VIC he wasn't disgraced in $80,000 race at Sandown around the likes of War Legend & Divine Mr Artie.
Lake Jackson - 2pts @ 2.40