Tom Gilmore starts the week with tips from Echuca.
Leg 1 - 1, 4, 5, 10
Leg 2 - 4, 5, 7, 14
Leg 3 - 2, 3, 5, 11
Leg 4 - 1, 2, 3, 9
$100 = 40%
Best Bet: Echuca R7
Form of late for a race like this has been very good, has run well in much better grade (BM78 latest was sound!) and manages to slot into BM58 grade well relative weights thanks to the claim from T.Hope. Latest two outings she's found Firenze (city-class stayer) too slick, but theres nothing of that quality in this. She can rate down on recent efforts and be too good for them. Will go to the front and be too good.
Next Best: Echuca R2
Looks a fairly smart debutant this fella, was really impressed by his recent trial at Mornington over 900m (soft going/crossed the line with a good one!). He jumped well, settled, then basically trucked around under his own steam. They ran good time for the morning and he clearly had more up his sleeve, managed to only be bettered by Magic Millions Clockwise Classic winner Clara El Banco (handy). Reckon wide draw suits him on debut, he'll push forward looking to take a position and fancy he'll be a bit too good. Heavy track shouldn't pose any problems.
Looks a smart style of filly debuting here against what it seems a fairly average bunch, jumped to the front in latest Flemington hit-out and went through the line nicely under minimal urgings. Fancy she'll find the front from the friendly draw and with C.Parish aboard (terrific front-running jock) she can dictate and be too strong/slick for them (pattern will suit). She's bred in the purple so no shock to see her debut her with bigger goals in sight this spring.
Usually hesitant to back horses off the pro-ride onto turf, but keen he's got some class. Should have won fresh when put into an awful position where he only found daylight late, then was a total forgive second-up after another terrible ride. They were 1100m/1200m, but I reckon 1400m will suit going off his pattern. Should get the PR of the race from gate 6 if he can jump cleanly, he'll be strong late off a good tempo and can win with the right amount of luck.
Roughie: Echuca R9
Turning him around on the seven-day back-up (has been successful previously) after running well in good company at Wangaratta over 1400m, had won three races on the trot prior (1200m/1300m) all on soft decks so fancy his 'failure' at the seven furlongs might just have found the bottom of him. He's rock-hard fit and rates well enough to win this, big tick back to 1200m and should roll forward/sit leaders girth and be strong off a good tempo. Like the double figures!