Leg 1 - 3, 4, 7
Leg 2 - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7
Leg 3 - 5, 7, 11
Leg 4 - 3, 4, 7, 8
$100 = 40%
Next Best: Mornington R1 No.9 - BEACH LIFE
Thought his run fresh at Sandown two weeks ago over the 1300m was excellent considering he got a mile out of his ground early, was forced to sustain a long run in a race dominated by the leaders (went 1-2), so that effort clearly has merit. Interesting to note he's been gelded (more switched on?) and the progression to 1500m clearly suits. He's drawn awkwardly but if he can position up midfield/with cover, expect him to be the one motoring home over the top of them. Pace looks genuine enough so he should be every chance.
Beach Life - 1pt @ 2.10
Mornington R3 No.9 - CHIEF MOONDANCE
Stuck on ok on debut at Bendigo three weeks ago over the 1100m in a race where they swooped on the stand-side fence (this fella caught far side/inferior going). He did offer something but compounded a touch, he got warm pre-race so interesting to note that the ear-muffs go on to keep him settled and they engage a cross-over noseband (breathing). Think with the run under the belt/progression to 1200m and the fact he should again find the lead from the wide draw leads me to believe he'll go close with pattern suiting!
Chief Moondance - 1pt @ 7.00
Mornington R4 No.12 - LA RENARDE
Race lacks quality/speed on paper and this fillies rock-hard fit so fancy she really should take some catching. Took a sit at Bendigo three weeks ago over the 1100m and went through the line ok, she's a touch one-paced hence why I'd like to see her find the front and really run them along. If she can cross/find the fence with the minimum weight she can be too sharp for this lot. She's raced against better gallopers than these and can rate down and win.
La Renarde - 1pt @ 2.80
Mornington R6 No.3 - WORLD OF HOPE
Her best form in the middle of winter was exceptional this mare, had a run at The Valley back in July over the 1000m and nearly bloused an all-they-way winner (pattern suited), that effort was enormous and rated very well for a race of this nature. She's jumped out nicely in preparation for her return and expect home track/sting out she'll be suited. Will position up a touch handier in the small field/good marble.
World of Hope - 1pt @ 3.00
Best Bet: Hawkesbury R1 No.6 - KARAKA LASS
Progressive mare this who was 1600m to 2000m second-up at Kembla Grange just over two weeks ago, drew the inside/went back and sustained a solid run to come home over the top of them with relative ease in the end. Time was ok and keen she still had more to give physically, third-up/2100m suit her beautifully and she's still on an upward spiral v. a fairly limited bunch.
Karaka Lass - 1pt @ 2.50
Best Roughie: Hawkesbury R7 No.5 - COYS
Improved second-up at Goulburn three weeks ago when forced to settle in the second-half of the field with the big weight, thought he picked up and hit the line well under the circumstances (1300m looks suitable). Winner box-seated (pattern suited) so there was merit to the effort and fancy drawing out later on the program here very well may assist. If they're making ground down the centre of the track/stand side rail he's a big show.
Coys - 1pt @ 5.50