Pakenham R1 No.1 - GOLDEN STATE
Really good second-up to 1200m when a month between runs/gelded here recently. Was fairly wayward mid-race as leaders kicked away but did flatten out nicely over his final 200m to only go down narrowly. Ran through the line like a horse crying out for 1400m and he does draw well, if he can position up a pair closer in running this time in I expect he'll be rattling home over the top of them. Had fitness/improvement on latest outing and that rates him on top here.
Golden State - 1pt @ 6.50
Pakenham R2 No.5 - SANDHURST DELIGHT
Was disappointing second-up when a well backed favourite here over the 1200m two weeks ago, looked fairly lost throughout in running and never knuckled down at any stage. Suggest just might have raced a touch flat (second-up syndrome?) and with the addition of winkers expect him to 'spike' third-up. 1400m suits and he draws for a beautiful trip in transit. His run fresh over the 1000m was terrific in a race that rated ok on the day!
Sandhurst Delight - 1pt @ 2.50
Next Best: Pakenham R4 No.13 - BRINGME THE BUTLER
Trial at Wangaratta as a newly-gelded galloper was terrific (900m - heavy track). Was half-a-step slow early but just trucked up nicely early to find the front. Then bowled to the line under a stranglehold doing better than others under hard riding. Was well-backed on debut back in April (stable believe he's got plenty of talent) but disappointed. Suggest with the blinkers on here he'll be a far more professional racehorse, should jump and run from the wide alley and take plenty of beating onto better things.
Bringme the Butler - 1pt @ 5.50
Pakenham R8 No.14 - KERAUNO
Was a beautifully bred colt who has recently become a gelding (ultimate gear change) and that appears to have switched him on nicely for this return to racing. Had a jump-out at Caulfield (20/9 over 800m) and went nicely under a stranglehold, he and another galloper gapped the rest and never had the brakes released. Did win well fresh here last prep (1400m!) and does draw for a lovely run in transit, did run run to a nice rating in town on two occasions and suggest he's come back a 3-4 length better galloper.
Kerauno - 1pt @ 4.60
Best Bet: Moonee Valley R1 No.7 - MR INDIVIDUAL
Nice horse who I thought ran very well in the G1 Rupert Clarke at Caulfield 6 days ago, rolled forward and did stick on gamely in my opinion. His strength is when he's able to find the lead and roll freely, he's certainly at his peak physically and I do like the quick turnaround for him. Expect him to find the fence and control the race, rail true should favour those on-speed early and he can rate down and win this. Only effort here four weeks ago was an enormous on-speed effort against the pattern when setting a mad tempo (rated v.well), he's the best of the night!
Mr Individual - 1pt @ 2.20
Moonee Valley R2 No.2 - KENS DREAM
Ran an extremely big number (rating v. older horses on the day) here a month ago over the 1200m when setting a genuine tempo on-speed, he was good enough to do that work early and still offer a 'kick' at the top of the straight. That race did rate exceptionally well and he has been given time to freshen up for an assault on the spring. Wide draws no concern as he's got the early toe to cross this lot, if he finds the fence it should be race over.
Ken's Dream - 1pt @ 3.00
Best Roughie: Moonee Valley R8 No.8 - FAST CASH
Bit of an enigma this fella, he's two runs fresh at Flemington/Moonee Valley rated very well before a failure here four weeks ago at Stakes level. He was back in the ruck and lost his action before basically tailing out of the race. Ignoring that and keen to assess off those runs prior (pulled up with slow recovery). Blinkers come off first-time and he does draw well to suit his style, they'll run along in this and if pattern suits off the fence later in the night he could be the one pouncing on them late. D.Oliver sticks!
Fast Cash - 1pt @ 8.50