RABBITOHS V WESTS TIGERS Thursday, ANZ Stadium

Both teams are struggling but the good news for the Bunnies or Tigers is that one of them will walk away with the points.

The Tigers were pummeled 60-6 by the Raiders last week but can take some heart into this one with an outstanding statistic pointing to a much improved performance.

In the previous six times the Tigers have conceded 60 points they have bounced back the following week to win on four occasions.

Another positive aspect for the Tigers is they have had a tendency to get off to fast starts for the majority of their games. They are first in the NRL for points scored in the opening 20 minutes (tied with Canberra) and that is a good sign that they could open the scoring either through a Try or Penalty Goal.

INFLUENTIAL PLAYMAKER?
Adam Reynolds is a key part of the Rabbitohs attack but since he returned from injury they are yet to register a win. What is worrying is the fact their losing margin for those games is averaging around the three-converted try mark – something that would be concerning for coach Michael Maguire.

We believe this is a harder one to pick than the market suggests. Surely the Tigers have to be far more competitive this week? We are prepared to give them another a chance to redeem themselves at the price ($3.40 Bet365).

BOOKIE OFFER
ENHANCED ODDS: Great odds of $9 are on offer if Kevin Naiqama scores and the Tigers win! See here. T&Cs Apply.
Wests TIgers - 1pt @ 3.40

EELS V BULLDOGS Friday, ANZ Stadium

This game has changed complexion with the withdrawal of Keiran Foran due to personal issues.

Prior to this announcement late yesterday / early today, all the money has been for the Eels and it was no surprise as they have been solid in their opening rounds of competition.

Added to that is the fact they beat the Dogs quite comfortably earlier in the season, 20-6 which was a scoreline which really didn't highlight the Eels' dominance on the night.

In recent years the Bulldogs have actually dominated this fixture, winning nine of the past 11.

Consistency has been the biggest issue for the Blue and Whites in 2016 as they have traded wins and losses for the better part of six weeks. This is their chance to notch back-to-back wins for the first time since the opening two rounds of the competition.

We originally were tipping the Eels with a bit of confidence but with Foran's absence they could struggle to beat a tough Dogs outfit. They were without Foran in the opening game of the season against the Broncos when they lost and but have improved significantly since then.

The best betting option here is either a Dogs ($3.05 UNIBET) or Eels ($4 Ladbrokes) 1-12 Winning Margin.

BOOKIE OFFER
ENHANCED ODDS: Ladbrokes have boosted the odds of an Eels win to $2.75 (Was $2.40). See here for details. T&Cs Apply.
Eels 1-12 - 1pt @ 4.00
Bulldogs 1-12 - 1pt @ 3.05

PANTHERS V RAIDERS Saturday, Carrington Park

The Panthers are taking their home game to Carrington Park in Bathurst for their match-up against the Raiders.

On face value it would appear that the bookies have got the odds wrong on this one with Panthers starting favourites, especially when you consider they have dropped three straight to them including a 30-22 loss in round one this year.

Canberra are coming off a 60-6 triumph over the Tigers but have been a little inconsistent in 2016 and are set to be without the exciting Blake Austin again this week.

Penrith have traded wins and losses in their last six games but they have been consistent in one area - the margins of those games.

Although winning just three games this season, two of them have been against premiership heavyweights Brisbane and Parramatta, Penrith has been in the fight in all their matches with the average margin being a tick over three points - the lowest of any team in history after eight games!

In fact their eight-point loss to the Raiders in the opening round remains the biggest margin they've been involved in through the opening eight weeks of the competition.

GOOD GROUNDING
Penrith have played twice at Carrington Park for a win and loss, however, their most recent performance there was a 40-nil drubbing of the Titans in round 2 last year.

With the news that Dean Whare, James Segeyaro and Sam McKendry are all returning to the Mountain Men for this clash, and the fact Blake Austin is likely to be missing for the Raiders, go for Penrith to win ($1.61 UNIBET) this one as we believe they are a far better team than what their record suggests.

BOOKIE OFFER
INSURANCE: Get your cash back in bonus points if your 1st try scorer bet scores in the first half! See here! T&Cs Apply.
Panthers - 1pt @ 1.61

ROOSTERS V KNIGHTS Saturday, Allianz Stadium

It may be hard to declare a team 'a good thing' after they've won just one game in eight, however, we believe the Roosters are close to a good thing as can be against the Knights on Saturday night.

The Roosters went down narrowly (20-18) to the Dragons on ANZAC Day after trailing 18-nil early which was their second straight loss.

A deeper analysis of their effort though suggests they haven't been too far off of late. In losing four of their last five games, the average margin in those games has been just three points.

A huge bonus to the Roosters will be the return of Mitchell Pearce and Jared Waerea-Hargreaves while Boyd Cordner returned last week and will be far better for the run.

On the flip side, the Knights who have also won just one game are without their playmaker Jarrod Mullen who did a hamstring in the loss to the Sea Eagles last week. After recruiting Peter Mata'uitia from the Dragons just a few weeks ago they will also be without him after suffering a knee injury.

What makes the case for the Roosters stronger is the fact they have owned the Knights for the better part of a decade at Allianz, winning nine of the last 10 clashes between the sides at the venue.

Overall, the Roosters have won five of six against the Knights with all five wins being by more than two converted tries.

BEST BET
Take the Roosters in the Head-to-Head market ($1.17 UNIBET) and also throw them into your Multis. They should have too much firepower for Newcastle. Looking for value? Take the 13+ Winning Margin ($1.75 UNIBET).

BOOKIE OFFER
ENHANCED ODDS: Think Blake Ferguson can score and the Roosters can win? Get a boosted $2.60 about this happenning. See here. T&Cs Apply.
Roosters - 1pt @ 1.17
Roosters 13+ - 1pt @ 1.75

SEA EAGLES V COWBOYS Saturday, Brookvale Oval

Manly face a tough task against the defending premiers at Brookvale Oval on Saturday evening.

Fortress Brookvale was once a graveyard for opposing teams, however, the Sea Eagles have been woeful in front of their fans dropping six of their last eight at the ground.

In fact, Manly have been far better on the road this season than at home as they’ve taken the points on three occasions when traveling away from the Northern Beaches.

Away trips were once the scourge of North Queensland but not anymore, as evidenced by their finals series charge last year that resulted in an inaugural Grand Final win.

This season the Cowboys have started with six wins and two losses but those defeats have been on the road. The average margin away from home is just 3.3 points per game (ppg).

TRIES GALORE
The Cowboys have the best attack in the competition and are averaging an impressive 28.8 ppg which spells trouble for Manly’s defence who are conceding around 20 points every time they hit the paddock. The Cowboys over 23.5 points looks a solid bet at $1.82 with Sportsbet.

We are thinking that the Cowboys ($1.38 UNIBET) will simply pack too many guns for the Sea Eagles and it might even turn out to be an ugly affair for the home side. They have lost the last three against Nth Queensland after dominating this fixture previously with six straight wins.

BOOKIE OFFER
ENHANCED ODDS: Antonio Winterstein to score a try & Cowboys to win is paying $2.75 with one bookie. Offer here. T&Cs Apply.
NQL (Over 23.5 Points) - 1pt @ 1.82
Cowboys - 1pt @ 1.38

NEW ZEALAND V DRAGONS Sunday, Mt Smart

The last thing the Warriors probably want to see after being flogged by the Melbourne Storm are the St George Illawarra Dragons.

Why you may ask? Although the Dragons have the worst attack of any team in the competition their record against the Warriors is sensational.

It seems as though the Red V grow a leg when they take on the Kiwis and boast an 11-game winning streak heading into this one. Overall, New Zealand has won just four of 23 against them!

Traveling across the ditch won’t be a concern for the Dragons who have eight wins from 12 matches at Mt Smart Stadium.

Points will be the biggest obstacle for the Dragons as they are scoring an average of just 9.8 points per game.

Again, taking recent history into account, they could be good for points here as they have scored at least 20 points in eight of their past nine wins against them.

BOGEY TEAM
The Warriors haven’t beaten the Dragons since 2007 and their 11-game losing streak is the longest streak of any team against any opponent. They are likely to be fired up after being humiliated 42-nil against the Storm but they are just too inconsistent at this stage. One hoodoo was broken when they beat the Dogs a fortnight ago, however, we’ll take the Dragons on trust here ($2.43 UNIBET).

BOOKIE OFFER
INSURANCE: Get your cash back in bonus points if your 1st try scorer bet scores in the first half! See here! T&Cs Apply.
Dragons - 1pt @ 2.43

TITANS V STORM Sunday, Cbus Stadium

Gold Coast will be up against it when they host Melbourne on Sunday afternoon. The Titans have dropped back-to-back games at home and will be out to avoid a third straight loss at Robina since the start of last season.

Punters looking for a bit of value could do worse than backing the Titans this weekend though. Although losing four of their last five the margins in these defeats has been eight points or less, so they haven’t been folding up and getting spanked.

The Titans head into this one off the back of a Golden Point defeat on the road against the Dogs while the week before they lost by five, at home, to the Dragons.

Even though their record against the Storm is terrible (five wins from 15), the fact the visitors have found the going more difficult on the road gives the Gold Coast a chance.

Melbourne won 42-nil against the Warriors last week but that was at home. Their average margin on the road this season is just 5.3ppg and their last two wins at this ground have been by a converted try or less.

It must also be remembered that the Storm beat the Titans in round 2 at AAMI Park 34-16.

STORM FRONT
While we think the Titans will put up a decent fight against Melbourne, it is hard to go past the Storm to win this one. Maybe the 1-12 ($3.10 LuxBet) Winning Margin for the visitors could be the way to go if you are searching for value outside the Head-to-Head market.

BOOKIE OFFER
ENHANCED ODDS: Think the 3rd placed Storm can win and Suliasi Vunivalu can score a try? Get a boosted $3 if this scenario eventuates! Offer here! T&Cs Apply.
Storm 1-12 - 1pt @ 3.10

SHARKS V BRONCOS Sunday, Shark Park

This is the match of the round with two of the form teams of the competition set to clash.

Both Cronulla and Brisbane have notched five straight wins and while it is still early in the season we may be treated to a Grand Final preview here.

Brisbane has lost just once so far in the opening eight rounds and that was a one-point decision to the Panthers in Penrith. Still on that game and it was the only time so far that they’ve conceded more than 20 points.

The Sharks have developed into a premiership contender and their credentials will get a workout here, especially when you consider their record against the Broncos.

Overall the Sharks have won just 19 out of 50 against the Queenslanders, however, they do have three wins from their past four but they were all at Suncorp Stadium. The last time these teams met was at Shark Park in 2015 when the Broncos won a slogfest 10-2.

PREMIERSHIP MATERIAL?
The Sharks won’t get a better chance to beat the Broncos than this weekend. They have won 10 of their last 13 at home and are averaging over 21 points per game in 2016.

Even though the Broncos are best defensive outfit in the league, having held the Dragons and Knights scoreless, they have leaked an average of 14.3ppg in three away games so far. This will be their first away game in a month.

We sense that this will be a tight one either way but are banking on the home side to deliver the goods ($2.17 UNIBET) and give the Sharkies faithful plenty to cheer for.

The loss of Adam Blair to suspension could be costly one for the Broncos.

BOOKIE OFFER
ENHANCED ODDS: If in-form Ben Barba scores a try & the Sharks win, collect $4.50 per dollar staked!See here! T&Cs Apply.
Sharks - 1pt @ 2.17