Southampton are unbeaten on the road this season and their price is too big to ignore.
Liverpool picked up a point in their opening game under Jurgen Klopp last weekend while Southampton suffered the now regular Leicester second-half comeback to drop two points at the death. Taking out their defeats to Man Utd these two have lost just two of 16 combined matches this season and there looks very little to split the sides in terms of performances and of course last term there was just one place between the teams as Liverpool finished sixth and Southampton seventh.
Those finishing positions rather ignore that Southampton’s goal difference was 17 better though and it was arguably the two head-to-heads that cost them a higher finish, as Liverpool completed a double with Raheem Sterling scoring in both matches. Liverpool’s home record in recent times isn’t particularly impressive while Southampton are unbeaten on the road this season. They were deserved winners at Stamford Bridge in their last away match and have not conceded more than twice in any of their 23 road games under Ronald Koeman (average 1.00 gpg conceded). With Ryan Bertrand back in the team and Virgil van Dijk settling in, the defence looks much stronger than at the start of the season and given the only time Liverpool have scored more than once in their last 12 games was against Aston Villa they should be able to pick up at least a point here. The Southampton-Draw Double Chance is available to back at 17/20.
Liverpool’s striker problems have been increased with the serious injury to Danny Ings and with Sturridge, Benteke and Firmino all struggling for fitness. Without those names this is a very ordinary Liverpool side with little threat in attack (it’s not brilliant with them) and the likes of Sadio Mane, Graziano Pelle and Dusan Tadic will fancy their chances of an upset. Pelle has four goals in his last six games while Mane has four in his last four in all competitions. In contrast Liverpool have scored only eight goals in nine league games as Watford and West Brom are the only sides to struggle more in attack. As a result the Southampton prices look too good to ignore.
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