Sydney have managed just one win in their last six at the Allianz Stadium.
Sydney were held to a goalless draw at Perth last weekend with each side managing just a single shot on target in a game played under the scorching Perth sun. However, last season’s runners-up remain just two points off the early pace set by Brisbane in a bunched looking A League table that sees just four points between first and sixth, the position currently occupied by the Phoenix after they conceded a late goal to lose 2-1 at Western Sydney.
Sydney are now winless in their last three, though one of those was against the Victory and another against table-toppers Brisbane. The draw against Perth brought to an end a run of 10 straight wins on the road, but surprisingly their home record is nowhere near as impressive as they’ve managed just one win in their last six at the Allianz Stadium. Wellington are currently sixth after a fifth place finish last season and Sydney’s home record against sides that finished between 4th and 7th last season was W1-D1-L4 as four of their five home defeats came against these teams. They failed to score in all four of these defeats and four of these games also had fewer than three goals.
Indeed, if we include this season’s draws against Brisbane and City, who finished 7th and 6th respectively last season, then it’s six of eight that had fewer than three strikes.
After winning two of their first three this season, Wellington have won just one of their last four and that win came at home to struggling Adelaide. They managed an impressive seven away wins last season but after beating Perth in their opening away game in the season, they’ve lost two of their last three on the road, though these defeats were against current second and third, Victory and Western Sydney. Last season, Wellington’s record at top-four finishers was an impressive W4-D0-L3 as they found the net in six of these seven games, the exception being against Victory, whom they also failed to score against this season. Five of these seven games had more than two goals and it was also all-square at half-time in five of these matches.
We wouldn’t expect Phoenix to be able to maintain their impressive away stats of last season but having played in Sydney last weekend they have stayed in the city so should be well rested. Without Marc Janko Sydney’s attack is noticeably weaker than last season and so they look worth taking on here while Under 2.5 goals is also worth a punt as well.