Victory look a decent price in what could be an entertaining affair on Wednesday night.
Perth won the battle of the bottom sides against the Mariners last weekend to move off the bottom of the league while at the other end of the table, Victory lost at league leaders the Wanderers, whom they now trail by six points, though this is their game in hand.
Things were looking ominous for Perth when they went a goal down against the Mariners as they’d managed just one goal in their last five going into that game, but they rallied to win 2-1 thanks to a quick-fire double from Nebojsa Marinkovic. While Perth have lost all five of their away games this season, they’ve now picked up two wins in three unbeaten home games as the nib Stadium has proved a tough place to travel, with teams perhaps struggling to deal with the long journey and scorching Perth sun. However, even when Perth were a much better side last season they struggled at home to top-three finishers: W0-D1-L3, with all these games seeing at least three goals as they conceded at least twice in each match, and there is a big difference between beating Central Coast and Adelaide this season and winning this match.
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The Victory have similarly proved much stronger at home than away this season as they’ve won and led at half-time in their four home games, but they’ve won only one of their five away games and have lost three of their last four on the road and failed to score in all three of these defeats. There were no such problems last season as Victory’s only away defeat came against their Melbourne rivals and their record on the road against sides that finished in the bottom-four was an impressive W5-D1-L0, as they led at half-time in four of these wins and five of these games had at least three goals. Failing to score in four of their five away games this season is a concern, however they have dominated possession in most of these matches and are unfortunate not have gotten more out of them.
Last season Perth went W1-D2-L0 against the Victory but their overall home record against the Champions since 2012/13 is W0-D2-L2. While Perth have an OK home record this season they’re yet to host a side currently in the top four and home or away they’ve managed just one point from six matches against the current top six. Victory look a decent price here but six of their seven away wins since the start of last season came in games with at least three strikes so it could pay to look beyond the straight win. Furthermore, 16 of Perth’s 18 home games since the start of last season have had at least three goals, so this could be an entertaining affair.