Newcastle have failed to win any of their last six, scoring just three times.
Newcastle were hammered 4-0 at home by Melbourne City last weekend as they’ve slipped back down into the bottom half of the table after their strong start to the season. Conversely, Adelaide picked up a much-needed home win against Sydney, though that doesn’t tell the whole story as Sydney played with 10 men for more than sixty minutes following Gersbach’s sending off and only lost following a 95th minute penalty. Adelaide, in eighth, now trail 7th place Newcastle by just three points and they’ll be looking to climb further towards the third place finish they managed last season.
After winning three of their first four, Newcastle have since failed to win any of their last six, with goals proving the problem as they found the net just three times. However, they’ve been decent defensively, with the exception of that loss against City, as four of these six games had fewer than three goals and five were goalless at half-time. Furthermore, City are the only side to score a first-half goal in Newcastle’s last nine games as seven have been goalless at the break. Their meeting with Adelaide a few weeks ago actually finished goalless and matches between this pair have tended to be low-scoring affairs, with 10 of the 13 clashes since 2011/12 having fewer than three goals.
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Newcastle have only won six of 37 games since the start of last season but they’ve hosted just one side this season that is currently in the bottom half and that finished all-square, as did half their home games against bottom-half finishers last season. Adelaide may have won back-to-back matches but those were both at home and were not exactly convincing.
It certainly seems to be too early to suggest they are getting back to their level of last term and they’ve lost and trailed at half-time in all four of their away matches this season. Even last term they were an inconsistent side on the road, as they lost at all of the bottom three. That included a defeat at the Jets and they’ve lost on four of their seven trips here since 2010/11 so they deserve to be opposed at 2.0 for the win. The Newcastle-Draw Double Chance is a 1.83 shot that offers some value, but given Newcastle’s lack of wins the full-time draw looks worth a punt at 3.7.