Sydney have won three of their last four trips to Wellington and led at half-time in each of the wins.
Having been 1-0 up after 70 minutes at Brisbane, Wellington conceded two late goals to lose 2-1 as they failed to continue their momentum after beating the Victory 2-0 at home and as a result remain in sixth.
Having been the early pace-setters this season, topping the league after four games, Sydney have since won just one of their last six, at home to the Jets, and they lost at Adelaide last week, though they were somewhat unfortunate as they looked like getting a draw despite playing most the game with 10 men before conceding a 95th minute penalty.
Wellington have been strong at home once again this season, with Victory not alone in struggling after making the journey across the Tasman, as the Phoenix have won their last three home games. Indeed, since the start of last season, Wellington’s home record is an impressive W10-D3-L5, though they’ve only managed to keep five clean sheets and as a result 12 of these games saw at least three goals. However, their record against top-four sides at home last term was W1-D0-L4 as all four of their league defeats came against these teams, including a pair of 3-0 losses.
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Three of Sydney’s four wins this season were by 1-0 scorelines and that tells the story of how they’ve struggled to find the net so far this term, averaging just a goal a game with three 0-0’s already and they’ve also drawn the first half in all 10 of their matches this season. The defeat at Adelaide was Sydney’s first away loss since the start of last season and this result together with a draw in their previous road game brought to an end a run of 10 straight away wins. Their record last season against sides that finished between fourth and seventh was an impressive W4-D2-L0 as they kept four clean sheets in these matches.
Indeed, they’ve kept four clean sheets in their last six matches and the fact that Wellington have conceded at least two goals in seven of their last eight home matches will give them hope that they can improve their goals tally at the other end.
Sydney have won three of their last four trips to Wellington and led at half-time in each of these wins but we don’t trust them to be as resounding in their performance given the dip in their form.
Nonetheless, we simply have to side with them at the prices given their remarkable away record, the only blemish on which was caused by a red card and a last minute penalty last week.