Brisbane should extend their impressive record against bottom three sides.
The Mariners lost a bottom of the table clash at Perth last week to leave them with just five points from their first 10 games and without a win since the opening day of the season. Brisbane, meanwhile, picked up their first win in four games at home to Wellington and as a result moved up to second as they look to keep up the pressure on leaders Western Sydney.
That sole win for the Mariners came at home to Perth and though they picked up a home draw against Wellington, they’ve lost three of their last four at home by more than one goal. However, only league leaders the Wanderers have managed to stop them scoring here this season. They’ll find it tougher to score against high-flying Brisbane and their record at home against top-half finishers last season was just W1-D1-L5, as they failed to score in three of these defeats and also trailed at half-time in four of these matches.
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While Brisbane have won four of five unbeaten home matches this season, they haven’t won on the road since the opening game of the season when they caught Western Sydney before they hit top form. Brisbane have managed just one clean sheet on the road this season but last term against bottom-three finishers their record read W4-D1-L0 as four of their six away wins came against these teams and they kept a clean sheet in three of the four wins.
Brisbane have won two of three unbeaten trips to the Mariners since 2013/14, with both of these wins without conceding and their strong record against the bottom-three last season means we expect them to record their second away win of the season here. Furthermore, since the Mariners’ last seven home defeats were by more than one goal, we’re siding with the Roar on the Asian Handicap.