Three of Perth’s last five away games had fewer than two goals.
Brisbane were impressive 3-1 winners over the in-form Melbourne City last weekend to keep the pressure on league leaders the Wanderers, whom they trail by just two points heading into this round thanks to three wins on the spin. Perth are similarly in decent form having won two of four unbeaten games, the last of those a 1-1 draw at Victory in a game they dominated in terms of shots on target but not in possession, and a similar counter-attacking performance looks to be the order of the day here.
Brisbane have been excellent at home this season, winning five of six unbeaten games, though they’ve kept only two home clean sheets and the strength of their form is questionable as both their home matches against current top-half teams were against Melbourne City, who’ve had a favourable run of fixtures at the start of the season and we expect to slip down from their current position of third. Having said that, Brisbane come up against another bottom-half side here in Perth and as well as being strong against these teams this season, their record last term at home to the bottom-three was W3-D0-L1 though once again both teams scored in three of these games, with the Mariners also finding the net against Brisbane this season.
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Perth’s good recent run has seen them pull away from the Mariners at the bottom of the table and regain touch with the rest of the division as they trail the Champions Victory in 5th place by just five points. However, that point at currently struggling Victory in their last game was Perth’s first on the road in six games this season as they’ve failed to score in half of these matches, but lost just one by more than one goal, a 5-1 thrashing at Melbourne City. They’ve trailed at half-time in four of their last five away, but did take until the second half to be broken down by Brisbane earlier in the season.
Brisbane have won three of their four home games against Perth since 2013/14, but they’re on the short side here at 1.5. Two of these wins were by one goal to nil and three of these matches had fewer than three goals. Indeed, three of Perth’s last five away games had fewer than two goals and we expect them to be hard to break down once again in a game that will likely follow a similar pattern as their trip to Victory as they’ll look to play on the counter.