City have scored at least twice in five of their six at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet.
City continued their free-scoring form against Sydney but their leaky defence, the second worst in the division, saw them concede the lead twice as they had to settle for a 2-2 draw. The Wanderers similarly dominated at home to Adelaide but were held to a 0-0 draw and they’re now level with Brisbane at the top of the table, with City a further six points back in third, though a win here would put them right in the mix.
City lost this fixture 3-0 earlier in the season, with their other home defeat coming against the Jets but they’ve won two of their last three at home, scoring nine goals in the process and they’ve also scored at least twice in five of their six at home. However, they are yet to keep a clean sheet as all six of these games had more than two goals and four had at least four strikes. City have led at half-time in four of these matches but have lost the second half in three of their last five at home. Their record at home to top-three sides since the start of last season reads W1-D2-L2 with three of these matches seeing fewer than three goals and City only trailing at half-time in one.
Click here for the best Melbourne v Western Sydney betting odds
The Wanderers have won eight of 10 unbeaten games but drawn two of their last three, against Adelaide at home and Perth away. During this run they’ve scored at least twice in eight of these games and kept a clean sheet in six, though they’ve only led at half-time twice and the first half’s been level in nine of their last 11. They’ve won three of their last four on the road, with the most impressive of those wins being against City as the other three games were against the current bottom-three. As a result, we’re yet to be completely convinced by the Wanderers’ away form this season, particularly since they were held to a draw at Adelaide and lost at Sydney earlier in the campaign.
The Wanderers have scored at least twice in their last four on the road but have only managed two away clean sheets while both teams have scored in 11 of City’s 13 games this season as their games have comfortably seen more goals than anyone else in the division and so we’re backing this one to be another high-scoring affair.