Five of Melbourne City’s last six away games have had more than three goals.
Despite taking an early lead at home to Adelaide last weekend, Perth were beaten convincingly 3-1, not helped by a red card to centre-back Alexander Grant just before half-time. That result means they remain down in ninth with just 12 points from 14 games. City, meanwhile, won a 3-2 thriller at home to the Wanderers, aided by an incorrectly disallowed goal for the Wanderers at 2-2. Nonetheless, it was a huge result for City with the top-two both dropping points and they’ll hope to build on that here.
Having failed to score in half of their opening eight games, Perth have since scored in their last six and are undoubtedly a better side than they were at the start of the season when they were adjusting to a number of changes during the off-season. The loss against Adelaide was their first home defeat since their opening home game of the season as they’d beaten Victory, the Mariners and Adelaide prior to that as well as keeping both the Sydney sides to draws. Their record when hosting top-four teams since the start of last season is W1-D3-L4 as they managed to score in six of these games and they only trailed at half-time in three of these matches.
City are in excellent form having won five of their last seven matches and they’ve been finding the net with regularity, scoring 35 goals in 14 games this season, but they’ve managed just one clean sheet and as a result both teams have scored in 12 of their matches. 12 also saw at least three goals and 10 saw at least four, including six of their last seven. Their away record this season reads W3-D2-L2 while their record at bottom-four sides since the start of last season is W4-D1-L3, but all of those defeats were last season and they’ve won each of their three trips to bottom-half sides this season.
City beat Perth 5-1 earlier at home this season and odds against about them doing the double here looks very fair, but with Perth improving the best bet looks to be in the goals markets. Five of City’s last six away games have had more than three goals, whilst Perth’s last two at home have both seen four strikes, with five of their seven home games seeing at least three goals.