Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix - Monday 19:30, Fox Sports 4

Despite taking the lead twice and Perth being reduced to 10 men after 63 minutes, City were unable to come away with the three points from the nib Stadium as the home team held on for a 2-2 draw that means City slip down to fourth. Wellington, meanwhile, lost 3-1 at the Jets meaning they’re now winless in six and are being drawn into the battle of the bottom-four along with the Jets, Glory and Mariners.

City scored two or more goals for the 11th time in 15 games this season against Perth but the defence once again proved costly as they conceded for the 25th and 26th time this campaign as only the Mariners have a worse defensive record. Indeed City’s games have seen a remarkable average of 4.2 goals this season, with both teams finding the net in 13. Their home record is W4-D1-L2 as they’ve led at half-time in five of these games, but failed to keep a clean sheet yet and as a result all of these matches saw Over 2.5 goals and five saw Over 3.5. Their record at home to sides between fourth and seventh since the start of last season reads W4-D1-L1, with the majority of these games last season.

The Phoenix have now lost four of six winless games and also lost their last four on the road, conceding 11 goals in these four games. Their away record this season reads W1-D2-L6, with the win coming at Perth in their opening away game of the season and one of the draw at bottom of the table Central Coast. They have managed to score in six of these nine games and seven saw at least three goals, while they’ve trailed at half-time in the last three of these away games and in four of the six defeats.

Indeed, a 3-1 defeat at the Jets, who prior to that had failed to score in six games, is a damning indictment of Wellington’s away form and we expect City to win this one comfortably. They’ve led at half-time in six of their last eight, including their last four at home and as a result City/City HT/FT makes appeal, as does City to win and both teams to score at 2.87. We also wouldn’t put anyone off backing City on the Asian Handicap, with -1, -1.5 and even -2 all worth backing City’s excellent scoring form.
Melbourne City/Melbourne City (HT/FT) - 1pt @ 2.48