City have lost just one of their last 10 so rate a good bet to see off the Wanderers.
The Wanderers left it until the 88th to find a much needed winner at bottom of the league Mariners last weekend, aided by Nick Montgomery seeing red for the hosts after 79 minutes. The result means that they return to the top of a very congested table with just three points between the top five. One of the teams very much in the mix is Melbourne City who were comfortable 3-1 winners at home to Wellington on Monday evening, a result which propelled them up to second and just two points behind the Wanderers.
The Wanderers face their third big game in four having travelled to City and hosted their Sydney rivals prior to the Mariners win, both games that they lost. Indeed, that defeat in the derby has blemished an otherwise very impressive home record as they’re now W5-D1-L1 at the Parramatta Stadium since an opening day defeat against Brisbane. Prior to the 2-1 Sydney defeat they’d only conceded two goals in their previous six home games, keeping four clean sheets. It’s worth noting that six of the seven goals the Wanderers have conceded at home have come in the first half and they’ve been very much a second half side both at home and away this season. Their first half record is W3-D9-L4 but in the second half of games it’s W8-D7-L1 as six of their nine wins have been D/W doubles.
City’s three goals against the Phoenix came within the first 50 minutes as they took their foot off the gas thereafter, but nonetheless that takes their tally for the season to 40 goals in 16 games, 15 more than anyone else in the division. A consolation goal for Phoenix means that City have still managed just one clean sheet this term, with both teams finding the net in 14 of their 16 games. Their away record this season is W3-D3-L2 with the defeats coming at Victory and Brisbane, though they did manage a draw at the Roar earlier in the season. Their record at top three sides since the start of last season reads W1-D2-L4 but they managed to score in six of these matches and indeed in all of their away games this season.
The Wanderers’ only two home wins this season against top-half sides have come against Victory, who have been terrible on the road, and Brisbane. As a result, with City in excellent scoring form at the moment and having lost just one of their last 10, we’re taking the home team on in this one.
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