Melbourne Victory should be backed to see off Western Sydney Wanderers on Saturday night.
Undoubtedly the highlight of this weekend’s A-League fixture list, this one sees the Champions host the league leaders heading into this week, in what should be a clash. Victory’s woes on the road continued as they lost a 3-2 thriller in Perth and they had to play the last half hour with 10 men following Ben Khalfallah’s red card.
The Wanderers themselves were involved in a seven goal thriller when hosting City in a remarkable game when they were 3-0 up before City found two quick goals, but then the Wanderers replied and there was another late goal and a red card for the visitors to throw into the mix.
All six of Victory’s defeats this season have come on the road while their home record remains an imperious W6-D1-L0, leading at half-time in six of these games but keeping just three clean sheets.
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Interestingly they’re yet to concede a first-half goal at the Etihad, with all five of the goals they’ve let in coming in the second half. Their record against top-four sides since the start of last season is W3-D2-L1 with both teams scoring in five of these games and five also having Over 2.5 Goals and four having Over 3.5. They’ve faced three top-half sides at home this term and two of their three home clean sheets came in these matches, their last two home games.
The Wanderers have been a bit susceptible defensively in recent weeks, conceding nine in their last four after conceding just five in 10 prior to that. Their away record this season is W4-D2-L2 and they’ve now scored at least twice in their last six on the road. However, it’s important to note that three of those wins have come against the current bottom-two and they’ve lost two of their three trips to top-half sides. Though the Wanderers managed five goals in their two trips to City, Van’t Schip’s side have been poor defensively this season and the Sydney side may find it harder to find the net against the Champions.
Victory’s home record is the best in the league and wins without conceding over Sydney, the league’s best travellers in the last couple of seasons, and Brisbane who are second in the division, represents excellent form. As a result, and since the strength of the Wanderers’ away form can be questioned, Victory look a big price in this one.