The home side look a great bet when Adelaide host Brisbane on Saturday evening.
Adelaide continued their excellent form as they snatched a 90th minute winner at Victory, their ninth win in their last 12 games and with it they now trail Brisbane by just two points after they were hammered 6-3 at Perth on Saturday. That was Roar’s third defeat in their last six games and they’ll look to get back to winning ways in this one and secure their position in the top two.
Adelaide were bottom of the league after eight games but their progress since then has been remarkable as they’ve surged up to 3rd in the table. Since that upturn in form Adelaide have conceded just eight goals in 12 games (0.67 gpg) whilst finding the net themselves 23 times (1.92 gpg). Their home record this season is W5-D4-L1 and they’ve now won five of their last six at the Hindmarsh Stadium, though interestingly all of the sides they’ve played in that time are currently in the bottom-half of the table. Their record when hosting top-half sides since the start of last season is W2-D6-L2 with six of these matches having fewer than three goals.
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The heavy defeat at Perth means that Brisbane have now conceded 17 goals in their last six games (2.83 gpg) and they’ve also trailed at the break in four of these matches. Brisbane’s away record this season is W3-D3-L4, though two of those wins were against the Mariners and Sydney, who’ve struggled at home this season, whilst the other was against the Wanderers on the opening day of the season and they’ve since reversed that form. Indeed, the Wanderers and Victory are the only top-half sides that they’ve travelled to, losing two of these three matches as each had more than two goals.
Despite the fact that Adelaide haven’t hosted any top-half sides during their excellent current run, wins at Brisbane and Victory together with a goalless draw at the Wanderers suggests they haven’t simply been taking advantage of fixtures against lesser teams on their current run. As a result, we expect them to continue their outstanding form here and get the win over a stuttering Brisbane in this one.