If you backed all CCM home tips with $50 you’d be in a good profit ($183).
The Mariners lost 1-0 when hosting the Jets last weekend and as a result they remain rooted firmly to the bottom of the table, having lost 15 of their 21 matches this season. Victory’s title defence is going far from smoothly as they failed to hold on to a 1-0 lead at home to 10-men Sydney last weekend. They’ve now won just three of their last 14 and as a result are down in 5th heading into this gameweek, eight points behind leaders the Wanderers.
Despite their dire form this season, the Mariners have led at the break in four of their last nine, but only managed to hold on for a win against the Phoenix. Indeed, the Mariners are the 7th best team in the division when it comes to 1st half results this season, but they’re comfortably the worst in the 2nd half, losing the second 45 in 13 of their 21 matches. Their home record this season is W2-D2-L7 as they’ve beaten Perth and Wellington and managed a draw against Victory. They’ve scored in eight of these 11 games and only trailed at the break in three. Their record when hosting sides between 3rd and 6th is W3-D2-L6 and it’s worth noting that they haven’t lost any of their last six at home by more than one goal, despite playing Adelaide, the Wanderers and Brisbane in that time.
Get $15 for Fabio Ferriera to score a goal and Central Coast Mariners to win with one bookie
Get $4 for Archie Thompson to score a goal and Melbourne Victory to win with one bookie
Victory have drawn three of their last four games but worryingly for them suffered their first home defeat of the season against in form Adelaide in their penultimate game. Their away record this season is W2-D3-L6 as they failed to score in five of these matches and kept just two clean sheets. They’ve trailed at the break in four of their last five on the road, including at Central Coast when they trailed 3-0 at the break before mounting a remarkable comeback to salvage a 3-3 draw. Their record at bottom-four sides this season is W1-D1-L4, with that win being a narrow 1-0 victory at the Jets as they failed to score in three of these matches.
Though the Mariners’ results continue to be disappointing, they’ve been performing better in recent weeks and have lost just three of their last nine by more than one goal, all of which were on the road. Victory’s away form has been dire this season and they had to travel to Japan to face Gamba Osaka in the Champions League on Wednesday night. As a result, we’re taking on the Champions in this one and backing the Mariners to keep it competitive.