Brisbane Roar v Newcastle Jets

Brisbane bounced back from their defeat at City with a 3-2 win at home to Sydney last weekend and they remain very much in the mix for a top-two finish ahead of the Finals. The Jets, on the other hand, slumped to their third defeat in four games as they were beaten 2-1 at home to Perth and as a result remain down in 8th with no chance of making the Finals with just two regular season games remaining.

Brisbane have led at the break in their last four games and have been in strong scoring form, finding the net 12 times in these matches. John Aloisi’s side have picked up more points at home than anyone else in the division this season as they have an impressive W10-D2-L1 record at the Suncorp Stadium. They’ve led at the break in seven of these 10 wins but managed just four clean sheets, with only two in their last 10. When hosting bottom-three sides they’re W3-D1-L0 with that draw coming against the Jets themselves as they managed just one clean sheet in these games.

The Jets have managed just two goals in their last four games and that’s been the story for them all season as they’ve been decent defensively but struggled to find the net as their tally of 23 goals in 25 matches is comfortably the lowest in the division. Their away record is W3-D3-L5 and they’re yet to concede more than twice on the road, but they failed to score in six of these games and as a result eight of their 11 trips had fewer than three goals. When travelling to top-half teams this season they’re W1-D2-L3 with a win at City early on in the season and they also picked up draws at Adelaide and Brisbane.

However, despite the Jets’ respectable efforts when travelling to the top teams, their skipper and centre-back Nigel Boogaard is suspended for this one and Newcastle have struggled in his absence so far this season. They’ve lost four of the five games he’s missed and since their form at the moment is poor and they have little left to play for, another defeat could be on the cards here against a Brisbane side who have been excellent at home. The Jets have trailed at the break in four of their five away defeats this season while the Roar have been ahead at half-time and full-time in their last three at home and so we’re backing them to make it four out of four in this one.

Recommendation: Brisbane Roar HT/FT at 2.23

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Brisbane Roar - 1pt @ 2.23