Kembla Grange R1 No.1 - INTREPID WAY

Returned fresh at Rosehill three weeks ago and just found the 1100m far too sharp, was beaten by some good ones (runner-up a recent stakes winner) so theres form out of the race. A significant drop in grade will suit and he'll relish the second-up/step to 1500m formula. Was good at 1400m in G3 company last spring which stacks up enormously for this, not worried by the weight as this is a pretty average field.
Intrepid Way - 1pt @ 4.0

Kembla Grange R6 No.2 - HONESTA

This is a seriously good filly, what she achieved remaining in full work between July and November of last year was extraordinary. It was a prep that started with 4th over 1400m at the Sunshine Coast and ended with a 2nd to superstar filly Jameka in the G1 Crown Oaks (2500m!). Thats a preparation that only 'proper' horses can deal with and the way she returned at Randwick two weeks ago was very sound and suggested she's in great order, tough day to make ground and she also found trouble. Fitter and gets to a mile which will suit her down to the ground!
Honesta - 1pt @ 3.6

Cranbourne R1 No.3 - PUNT CLUB

Nice horse this who was good fresh at Bendigo off the back of a very smart trial, he just half-missed the kick which in turn appears to have cost him the race (was forced to use petrol early). Winner has since gone on to run well behind a good one and Sallanches (3rd) came out and won impressively yesterday. All he needs to do is have improved 5% and as long as he steps cleanly he'll be winning.
Punt Club - 1pt @ 2.7

Cranbourne R3 No.12 - CLEVFILLY

She is just busting to win this filly and I think she strikes the rate race this evening, her past two shes worked hard to lead/set a good gallop midrace and just be worn down by one with a softer run late. The 1500m/1450m have just been a bit much so I think the 1400m around a tight track like Cranbourne will be ideal. Doesnt appear to be an abundance of speed on paper and a key rival will be going back from the wide draw early. Rail back to the true should see leaders have their chance.
Clevfilly - 1pt @ 6.0