We head to Rosehill on Saturday for another strong day of racing for the Easter weekend.
R1 - E-Group Security Handicap
The rail is out 5m this weekend and the track is a soft 5.
SKINNY PLAY: 1,5 / 6,7 / 2,4 / 1,2,8,14
WIDE PLAY: 1,3,5,8,15 / 1,2,6,7,9 / 1,2,4,8,9,10 / 1,2,8,9,14,15
Federal is having his first start since May last year. He finished second in that Hawkesbury Guineas and has won first up in the past. He has some class and this looks a suitable race.
Rockolicious went from strength to strength last campaign, winning four in a row. Her recent trial was good and she should get the run of the race from barrier 5.
Roaring To Win was disappointing last start in Canberra. He had some small excuses but it wasn’t the type of performance that makes you confident. His form prior to that is strong enough to play a part in this race.
Parraay ran well last start in the Provincial Championship qualifier at Kembla Grange. She didn’t have it all her own way, racing wide with no cover, but she continued to fight and showed plenty of courage. She has again drawn a tricky gate but with more luck she’s a nice each-way chance.
SELECTIONS: No2 FEDERAL, No8 Rockolicious, No9 Roaring To Win, No12 Parraay
VALUE RUNNER: No12 Parraay
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R2 - The Schweppervescence
Crafty Cop did everything right on debut with an impressive victory at Warwick Farm. From barrier 9, he may need that speed again to try and cross the field and lead this race as we saw on debut.
Prized Icon has been a model of consistency. The last four starts have seen him run in the money, but this is his biggest test yet from barrier 14. He’ll need plenty of luck.
Reinforced looks to be a nice type. He looked the winner last start before switching off late. The form lines around him are good enough to win this race.
SELECTIONS: No13 MOQUEEN, No3 Crafty Cop, No1 Prized Icon, No8 Reinforced
VALUE RUNNER: No8 Reinforced
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R3 - The Daily Telegraph Neville Sellwood Stakes
Sir John Hawkwood couldn’t have been any more impressive on his last start. He proved too good in the concluding stages to win the Sky High Stakes at the track/distance. He’ll strip fitter from that performance and there’s no reason why he can’t win this.
SELECTIONS: No2 IT’S SOMEWHAT, No8 Centre Pivot, No6 Sir John Hawkwood, No5 Entirely Platinum
VALUE RUNNER: No1 Magic Hurricane
R4 - TAB Star Kingdom Stakes
Alberto Magic also returned from a spell with a win, grabbing Angels Beach late over 1100m at Rosehill. The win meant that he has now won seven races from 11 attempts. If he can get away with an easy sectional, he may be able to run away with this at the top of the straight.
Bachman performed well on his last start behind Alberto Magic. He meets him 2kg better and the extra distance should suit him so he’ll be attacking the line strongly.
SELECTIONS: No2 Malaguerra, No3 Alberto Magic, No1 Target In Sight, No6 Bachman
VALUE RUNNER: No8 Coolring
R5 - Triple M Tulloch Stakes
Man of Choice is fourth up this campaign and this race looks perfect for him. His run in the Phar Lap suggested that he’s back to his best form and he’s won over the distance before.
Hattori Hanzo has now won three in a row and continues to handle any challenge that comes his way. He won his maiden only a month ago, so this field will test him out but he appears to still have plenty of upside and progression.
River Wild has the blinkers back on and is on the quick back up after finishing fifth in the Rosehill Guineas. Although the 2000m doesn’t appear to be ideal, his class should still see him be very competitive in this race.
SELECTIONS: No7 OLD NORTH, No4 Man Of Choice, No1 Hattori Hanzo, No2 River Wild
VALUE RUNNER: No8 Balmain Boy
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R6 - Vinery Stud Stakes
Risque has caught the eye since coming to Australia. Her two runs have been impressive and she actually beat Jameka last time they met in the Australian Guineas. She’s the New Zealand 1000 Guineas winner and the 2000m should see her finish right in the mix.
Capella also comes out of the New Zealand Derby, finishing in fourth place. She also beat Valley Girl home when taking out a Group Two race over a mile back on Boxing Day. Opie Bosson comes across to take the ride and, like Valley Girl, she is a great each-way chance.
Valley Girl looks a serious contender when they step up in distance for the Oaks. This race may be too short but her class should see her still play a part and attack the line strongly.
SELECTIONS: No1 JAMEKA, No5 Risque, No8 Capella, No3 Valley Girl
VALUE RUNNER: No8 Capella
Get your money back if you finish 2nd or 3rd in race 6 at Rosehill today with Palmerbet. T&C’s Apply, excl NSW.
R7 - The BMW
Mongolian Khan put in a better performance last week in the Ranvet and is on the quick back-up. He couldn’t quite sprint with them over 2000m, so the extra 400m looks ideal for him. He’s still not back to his best form but it appears to be getting closer.
Rising Romance put in a good performance in the Australian Cup, finishing third. Her top end form lines are good enough to win this but it is not certain if she’s in that form at the moment. She’d need to be on her game to beat our top two selections.
Our Ivanhowe was only narrowly beaten in the Australian Cup and the extra distance here should suit him. He’s won three races over 2400m and finished third behind Mongolian Khan in the Caulfield Cup. If it comes to a true grind over the concluding stages, he’ll look the winner at one point.
Who Shot Thebarman received plenty of late support in the Sky High Stakes on his last start. They went forward, sat outside the leader and he had every opportunity to win. Although that was a disappointing result, he is another horse that is going to appreciate the step up to 2400m.
SELECTIONS: No7 PREFERMENT, No6 Mongolian Khan, No 9 Rising Romance, No 1 Our Ivanhowe
VALUE RUNNER: No9 Rising Romance
R8 - Ascend Sales Trophies Emancipation Stakes
Badawiya is the x factor in this race. This is a big step up in company for the three-year-old but after her win at Flemington it’s easy to see why they think she capable of winning. She can measure up to the older mares and give the favourite a scare.
Zanbagh comes out of the Coolmore Classic as well and her turn of foot should see her finish close to the winner. Consistency hasn’t always been her strong point but her recent form is good enough to play a part in the race.
Telepathic also comes from the same race and gets a 2kg swing on Zanbagh. She has a good record at the track and she’ll receive some support, especially with James McDonald taking the ride.
Lady Le Fay is the best each-way chance in the race. She will be suited with the extra 150m and should also appreciate the drop in weights. She had to carry 61kg and now drops to 54kg and she’s shown enough since coming to Australia. Chris Waller has a knack of helping these gallopers improve dramatically after a few runs.
SELECTIONS: No2 SOLICIT, No4 Badawiya, No8 Zanbagh, No9 Telepathic
VALUE RUNNER: No10 Lady Le Fay
R9 - Hyland Race Colours Doncaster Prelude
Cosmic Cube was impressive at Canberra when winning first up. He’s another galloper that has come across from New Zealand and he appears to have settled in nicely. He showed a nice turn of foot last start and should be able to sit outside of the leader again.
Sadler's Lake has to overcome a very tough draw. He didn’t quite have the turn of foot needed to win the 1350m on his last start, so the extra 150m will suit. He’ll be hoping that this race is run at a good tempo.
SELECTIONS: No1 EXCESS KNOWLEDGE, No14 Cosmic Cube, No8 Sadler’s Lake, No2 Beaten Up
VALUE RUNNER: No2 Beaten Up