Tom Gilmore's best bets for Thursday, 14th April, 2016.
Wangaratta R2 No.14 - LITTLE MISS CHARM
A very poor race but I think this filly has come up over the odds, her run was much better than it looked at Bendigo two weeks ago when she was 1600m to 2200m (first time at the trip). Massive leap and the fact she was competitive is a great sign, she tracked a genuine and was basically right in the race until the final 150m where fitness told. She'll take enormous benefit from that run and with the form coming out of the race strong (runner-up since a winner) she can break her duck today.
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Little Miss Charm - 1pt @ 6.00
Wangaratta R3 No.9 - MAGNUS MAGIC
South Australian visitor who really was quite good just over three weeks ago fresh at Morphettville. She was forced to do a bit of work and proved to be a sitting duck for the fav (had the box seat) but did stick on gamely, that horse has since gone on to run well behind a genuine Group 3/Stakes filly which is pleasing to see. She'll strip fitter/appreciate the step up in trip and track pattern should suit those closer to the speed. Ticks plenty of boxes.
Magnus Magic - 1pt @ 3.40
Hawkesbury R2 No.6 - CRYSTAL FLUTE
Prepared to forgive this talented filly when resuming at a short quote two weeks ago at Warwick Farm, got back early and basically failed to fire a shot upon straightening. She looked/raced flat but she had been going nicely prior. Keen to say she just had an off day and that I can see her bouncing back, the long run in at here will suit her and she draws to take closer order in the run, just missed to Ghisoni (should have won G1 Arrowfield last weekend!) last Spring which is enormous form. She can improve drastically and win today.
Crystal Flute - 1pt @ 2.60
Pakenham R2 No.6 - CODEBREAK
Thought she trialled pretty well at Wangaratta and then jumped out nicely at Flemington 18/3 in a good heat, went around as a well backed favourite in September last year but failed (possibly choked down) so there were excuses. Think she'll punch up from the inside draw and lead them up, the poly track suits those that are handy to the speed at turn and she does have the talent to kick clear and win.
Codebreak - 1pt @ 3.40
Pakenham R3 No.8 - THE BIG LE BOOMSKI
Good fresh a month ago at Ballarat this filly and was only bettered by Saint Valorem (looks very smart). She has a few minor gear changes to correct some of her 'manners' but fancy that wont be an issue. She'll be better off for that first-up run and she does perform well on the Synthetic surface, finished on the heels of Reemah (runner-up G1 Blue Diamond) in August at her only outing on the poly which is a standout reference.
The Big Le Boomski - 1pt @ 2.40
Pakenham R4 No.8 - STAR IMPULSE
Going well the mare and she's a proven performer on the Synthetic surface (very important in assessing these races). Led them up here two weeks ago over 1200m in a decent enough race where she was just no match for a good one (gapped 3rd), she's been very much thereabouts this campaign and from the wide draw/claim from B.Mertens, I do fancy she can roll forward and breakthrough.
Star Impulse - 1pt @ 6.00