Leg 1 - 3, 5, 8, 10
Leg 2 - 1, 3, 4, 7
Leg 3 - 1, 2, 5, 8
Leg 4 - 2, 3, 5, 8
$100 = 40%
Next Best: Pakenham R4 No.6 - KALUAH
The mare didn't go a yard first-up on a fairly shifting surface at Geelong two weeks ago at Bendigo (1400m), stable/rider was of the opinion she'd take enormous benefit from the run (had been 9 months between hit-outs) so keen back onto a firmer surface she'll go close. Maps for the PR of the race from gate 5 and sole run at the mile back in November last year saw her have the better of subsequent G1 winner Howard Be Thy Name (good reference!). She's a mare still pon the up.
Kaluah - 1pt @ 2.75
Best Bet: Pakenham R5 No.5 - HUSSOR
Was brilliant returning here two weeks ago over the 1200m after missing the kick, he settled in a very awkward position (five back the fence) and only really saw daylight from the final 200m. His splits late were enormous and he was basically a moral beaten in the end. Looks like he'll take good benefit from that outing and does rate nicely progressing to 1400m. Drawing out for him suits, if the tempos genuine (looks to be) and he can find a backside into the race he'll be mighty hard to beat.
Hussor - 1pt @ 3.00
Pakenham R6 No.1 - EYE THE WORLD
Think he gets a lovely (PR) run on the map here this fella, totally forgiving of his failure at Sandown on a soft/shifting surface and pleased to see him back onto the pro-ride. Came over the top of a decent lot in BM70 grade over 1400m here five weeks ago (race rated well enough to win this) and he didn't have all the favours on that occasion. Speed actually looks quite genuine for a small field and that'll give him the chance to be strong late over, ready for a mile now.
Eye The World - 1pt @ 4.50
Goulburn R7 No.7 - VINNIE POWER
Thought she went really well at the track/trip two weeks ago when facing the breeze, the fact she still had the tenacity to run through the line was terrific. Interesting from the inside marble the blinkers go back on (more positive early) which may mean she could even lead? Either way she'll be handy and is now certainly at her top, there are no superstars in this lot and does meet some key rivals with an edge physically. I'd be disappointed if she couldn't get it done here.
Vinnie Power - 1pt @ 3.60
Roughie: Pakenham R8 No.2 - BALLYBRIT
Clearly better over further, but think she's primed to run a bottler fresh. Did finish runner-up to the Saturday-class Crystal Dreamer when resuming/only go at 1200m in a recent preparation - that run would rate to have her close here and do think she also trialled well at Tatura recently on what was a bottomless track. Speed looks good on paper and if pattern suits those making ground down the centre of the track (can do here at Pakenham), then she might just be the one pouncing late.
Ballybrit - 1pt @ 7.50
Goulburn R1 No.6 - ESSENCE PREVAIL
Jumped a mile to 2100m on a fairly soft track at Gosford three weeks ago and didn't go a yard, didn't run the trip/get through the going so it was a total forgive. Assessing off two wins prior has him right in this, the most recent of those two was impressive at this track/trip when winning comfortably making ground from midfield off a genuine tempo. Early on the program the inside draw shouldn't pose too much of an issue and he does rate to win this dropping back to 1600m. Keen really hard to beat!
Essence Prevail - 1pt @ 5.50