The Big Marn provides his usual mix of big value betting tips across all the round 16 fixtures.
Big Marn's Multi
PANTHERS -8.5 line
TITANS / RAIDERS Over 45.5 points
BEST ODDS: $9.55 Sportsbet
PENRITH PANTHERS vs SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS (Friday 24th June 7.50pm)
They have been active in the transfer market offloading Segayaro in a swap deal with Leeds Rhinos, bringing in Zac Hardaker whom by all accounts is a very good player. He won’t start in this game but it is a positive play by Penrith. Moylan and Mansour are backing up from State Of Origin as is Inglis for Souths. Reynolds is lost for the season after getting hurt on Wednesday night and Souths – whom have a very slim full-time NRL roster – are forced into seeking players from their feeder club – The mighty North Sydney Bears. Tasi makes his debut on the wing for Souths and there is a look of fragility about their side.
Betting wise you just have to get with Penrith all the way. You can take them straight ($1.37 UNIBET) out as a leg of an all-up if you desire, but the value is definitely in line betting. I think Penrith conceding the -8.5 line ($1.91 Palmerbet) is a really good bet. As for First Try Scorer – let’s roll with the son of Hoss: Bryce Cartwright ($23 Ladbrokes). Relishing the 5/8th role and playing outside the sharp Nathan Cleary should give him a good shot at parting the Souths leaky defence early on. Panthers all the way.
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS vs ST GEORGE-ILLAWARRA DRAGONS (Saturday 25th June 3pm)
Saints will win ($1.42 Ladbrokes) and will win handsomely. I am tipping them 13+ ($2.60 Ladbrokes) as I believe they will do what so many teams have done this season and just run all over the top of this Knights outfit. Saints to take out the Half-Full double as well ($1.85 William Hill) and for good measure, lets back Kurt Mann ($12 Bet365). He has looked the goods in recent weeks so let’s go with him for First Try Scorer.
CRONULLA SHARKS vs NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS (Saturday 25th June 5.30pm)
The key for the Warriors is to begin strongly, I reckon they will do that here and I am going to go for Solomone Kata ($15 Ladbrokes) to be First Try Scorer. He’s got some real go this kid, and knows his way to the try line.
CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs BRIBANE BRONCOS (Saturday 25th June 7.30pm)
The Dogs haven’t been playing magnificent football but there is some real starch in their pack and I expect them to find the sore points of those boys backing up from Origin. Hunt and Milford have been a notch below their best recently so they are definitely a risk. I can’t see the Dogs romping away with it so back the Dogs 1-12 ($3.25 Palmerbet) as well, in what should be a tough match.
I am a big fan of Curtis Rona ($9.50 Sportsbet) and I am going to stick with him as First Try Scorer in this cracking match up.
GOLD COAST TITANS vs CANBERRA RAIDERS (Sunday 26th June 2pm)
This game has OVERS written all over it! It’s a 2pm game, sun shining, fast track, both sides can score points and leak points, this looks a cracking bet at around 45.5 ($1.90 Sportsbet) the line. Points galore, get on overs.
Anthony Don ($11 Bet365) impresses me as a flyer, take him to score the First Try.
MELBOURNE STORM vs WESTS TIGERS (Sunday 26th June 4pm)
The play here is take the Storm 13+ ($1.91 William Hill). They will just be too good at home and by more than two tries. Suliasi Vunivalu is somewhat of a try scoring machine, back him to be Anytime Tryscorer ($1.55 William Hill) and also First Try Scorer ($7.50 William Hill). 13 tries this season. Wow. That is incredible.
NTH QLD COWBOYS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES (Monday 27th June 7pm)
Thurston and Co will have a field day on Monday against a Manly side that big things were expected from this season, yet they are fizzling out without so much as a wimper if their effort against Gold Coast is anything to go by.