Adelaide look a shadow of the side they were last season and Wellington look a decent price.
These sides had an identical record last season with Adelaide finishing in third ahead of Wellington only on goal difference. Both have made a slow start to this season, however, with Phoenix in seventh and Adelaide bottom of the table having failed to win any of their five games so far. What was most impressive about Wellington last season was their away form as they won seven of 13 road games but they’ve struggled comparatively at home, winning just three of their last nine at the Wellington Regional Stadium. These games have all tended to be high-scoring affairs, with seven seeing at least three goals.
After winning five of their opening seven away games last season, Adelaide have struggled on the road since, losing six of their last eight away matches with four of these defeats by more than one goal. They’ve trailed at half-time and full-time in both of their away games this season with those fixtures against last season’s seventh Brisbane and third Perth and the pressure is already growing on Guillermo Amor whose side have now lost their last three games.
Only two of Wellington’s games this season have been at home and after they lost their opening game of the season, they’ve lost just one of their last four and that was away to last season’s champions Melbourne Victory, as they beat Brisbane, who are currently second, at home and Perth away in that time. Adelaide look a shadow of the side they were last season and with that in mind Wellington look a decent price to pick up the three points here, though it might take them until the second half as they’ve won the second half in three of their last four at home but haven’t led at half-time in any of their last nine at home. Adelaide have only trailed at half-time in two of their last 12 on the road, making Draw/Wellington in the Half-Time/Full-Time worth a punt at 6.6.