Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory - Saturday 17:15, Fox Sports 4

The Victory have once again occupied their customary position at the top of the table thanks to four straight wins and they even have a game in hand on their rivals. Wellington, meanwhile, have won just one of their last five, after picking up two wins in their opening three games and that leaves them down in seventh, two places lower than they finished last season.

Wellington’s current position can in part be put down to a tough set of fixtures at the start of the season, as five of their opening eight games have been on the road and five of their matches have also been against current top-half sides and things don’t get any easier as they welcome Victory to the Westpac Stadium. Their home record since the start of last season is W9-D3-L5 and their home matches in recent times have been high-scoring affairs with the last seven all seeing at least three goals as they failed to keep a clean sheet. The Phoenix only lost four home games last term but those all came in their four matches against the top three, and all these games had more than two goals.

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While Victory have won all four of their home matches this season, they’ve won just once in their three road games, failing to score in two of these matches. However, they’ve scored 11 times in their current four game winning streak and 10 of their 16 road matches since the start of last season have had more than two strikes, with their away record in this time being W7-D7-L2. When travelling to sides that finished between 4th and 7th last season they were W3-D2-L1 and that included a 3-0 win over the Phoenix.

Victory have won 11 of their 13 matches against Wellington since 2011/12, with 11 having at least three goals and seven having four or more. Furthermore, their five trips to New Zealand have seen a total of 21 strikes. Wellington’s last two home games have also had at least five strikes and they’ve conceded at least two goals in their last seven at home, while Melbourne have only managed one clean sheet in their last six and scored at least twice in five of these games, meaning that we should see goals in this one.

Over 3.5 Goals - 1pt @ 2.7