Sydney FC v Newcastle Jets - Saturday 17:15, Fox Sports 4

A Ninkovic brace saw Sydney come from behind twice to pick up a point at Melbourne City last weekend. Indeed, that’s been the trend for Sydney this season as though they’ve only lost twice, they’ve drawn more than they’ve won and as a result trail the top-two by six points.

Meanwhile, the Jets kept the Victory at bay for 70 minutes before suffering a 1-0 home defeat and that result means that they’ve slipped down to eighth amongst a cluster of bottom-half sides in Wellington, Adelaide and Perth that have only three points between them, with the Mariners further adrift at the bottom of the table.

Sydney’s only home defeat this season came against the Champions and they’ve won their last two at home, against the Jets and the Mariners while their other home win came against the Wanderers when they were down in ninth and yet to hit top form. They’ve been level at half-time in six of their seven home games, and indeed in 11 of their 13 matches overall this season, while five of their seven home games had fewer than three goals and four had fewer than two. Their record against bottom-four sides since the start of last season is W6-D1-L0 as six of their seven wins in that time have come against these teams and they kept a clean sheet in four of these matches, though only led at half-time in three.

Click here for all the best Sydney v Newcastle betting odds

The defeat against Victory means that the Jets have now failed to score in five and scored just three in their last nine. Two of their three wins this season have come on the road, against Wellington and City and they haven’t conceded more than twice away this season, with two of their last three seeing fewer than two goals. Their record at top-four sides since the start of last season is W2-D1-L6 with only three defeats by more than one goal and they only trailed at half-time in four of these games while six had fewer than three goals.

Seven of the eight meetings between these sides since 2013/14 had fewer than three goals and four of the five since the start of last season had fewer than two strikes. As a result, ‘unders’ definitely looks the way to go in this one with Under 2.5 and 1.5 both appealing and for those looking to side with the home team we’d recommend backing Draw/Sydney HT/FT.

Under 2.5 Goals - 1pt @ 2.15