Brisbane Roar v Adelaide United - Friday 20:00, Fox Sports 4

Brisbane were on the receiving end of Victory’s resounding return to form last weekend as they were thumped 4-0 at AAMI Park and the game was settled very early on as Victory were 3-0 up after just half an hour. The Roar still top the league after the Wanderers also lost on the road at Sydney and they’ll be looking to cement their position here against Adelaide, who come into this game having beaten the Mariners 3-1 at home as they continue their climb up the table.

The defeat against the Champions was Brisbane’s third of the season, with all of these coming on the road, but their home form remains imperious as they’re W6-D1-L0. Despite that strong record they’ve only managed two clean sheets and have only hosted two current top-half sides. Five of their seven home games have seen at least three goals and indeed since the start of last season the Suncorp Stadium has tended to be high-scoring with both teams scoring in 14 of 20 matches and 13 seeing Over 2.5 goals.

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Adelaide had to wait until the second half to exert their dominance over the Mariners in what was an entertaining affair that saw both sides miss a penalty. That win means that Adelaide have now won five of seven unbeaten games, this after failing to win any of their opening eight. Indeed, they lost their opening four on the road, trailing at half-time in each of those defeats, but since then they’ve drawn at the Jets and the Wanderers and beaten Perth in their last away game, something that City, Victory, Wanderers and Sydney have all failed to do this season. Adelaide were one of the division’s best teams on the road last season as they won seven of their 13 games and their record at top-three finishers was W3-D0-L1, with that sole defeat coming against the Champions, Victory.

14 of Adelaide’s 20 away games since the start of last season at least three goals, as have seven of the eight meetings between these sides since 2013/14 and as a result Over 2.5 goals looks a solid 1.75 shot but the hot conditions could lead to a tighter encounter and the strongest bet looks to be taking on the home side. Adelaide are looking more like the side of last season every week after their poor start to the season and we feel that Brisbane’s league position is somewhat false as a result of a lenient fixture list so far, reflected in the fact that they’re only fourth favourites for the title, despite topping the division.

Adelaide +0.25 Asian Handicap - 1pt @ 2.1