Melbourne Victory v Sydney FC - Tuesday 19:30, Fox Sports 4

Victory bounced back to form resoundingly with a 4-0 win over leaders Brisbane to record only their second win in eight games. Despite that poor run of run, the Champions remain very much in touching distance of the top of the table and just three points behind third placed Sydney, who finished runners-up to Victory last season. Graham Arnold’s side managed an excellent victory of their own last weekend as they won the derby 2-1 at the Parramatta Stadium, with both results blowing the title race wide open.

Victory’s downturn in form coincided with a run of six away games in seven but their home form remains imperious as they’ve won five of six unbeaten home games, with the draw coming against Perth in the only home game amidst that run of away fixtures. They’ve led at half-time in each of their home games this season, scoring 10 goals without reply in the first 45. Their record when hosting top-three sides since the start of last season is W1-D2-L1, with that victory coming over Brisbane in their last home game. Both teams found the net in the three games from last season, whilst Victory have managed just two clean sheets at home this term.

Sydney’s defence is the best in the division as they’ve conceded just 13 goals in 15 games this season, keeping seven clean sheets, though only two of these came on the road. The win at the Wanderers was Sydney’s first in five away games, though their road record since the start of last season remains an excellent W13-D7-L1, with that lone defeat coming against Adelaide earlier this season. Their record at top-three sides in this time is W3-D1-L0 as both teams found the net in three of these games and all four had Over 2.5 goals, including a 3-3 thriller at the Etihad last term.

Indeed, the last three meetings between these sides have each seen six goals and we expect this one to be full of goals as well. Five of Victory’s six home games this season and 14 of 20 since the start of last term had Over 2.5 Goals, as have 13 of Sydney’s 21 away matches in that time, including four of their last six as their defence has slipped somewhat recently, managing just one clean sheet in that recent run.
Over 2.5 Goals - 1pt @ 17/20