Brisbane have managed just one goal in their last three matches so could struggle in Sydney.
Sydney will consider themselves unfortunate to have lost 1-0 at Victory as the goal came via an own goal in the 79th minute as Graham Arnold’s side once again showed why their defence is the best in the division, frustrating the hosts for the majority of the match. Brisbane, meanwhile, suffered a heavy 4-1 home defeat against Adelaide to follow a 4-0 defeat at Victory as they’ve now slipped down to third in the table.
Sydney have only conceded 14 goals this season, keeping seven clean sheets in 16 games, five of which have come at home. Their home record this season is W4-D3-L1, though three of those wins came against the current bottom-two in their last three home matches. Despite the fact that they finished runners-up to Victory last season, Sydney’s home record since the start of that campaign is a moderate W8-D7-L6 and seven of those wins came against sides 7th or lower, the exception being a win in the Sydney derby earlier this season that came despite being outplayed by the Wanderers. Six of their eight home games this season have had fewer than three goals as they’ve only managed to score more than once in two of these games.
Brisbane have managed just one goal in their last three matches and just three in their last six away games. Their overall road record this season is W2-D3-L2 with one of the wins coming over the Wanderers in the opening game of the season and the other against the Mariners. Indeed, one of their most impressive pieces of away form is arguably a 0-0 draw at Sydney themselves earlier this season and it’s also of interest that they’ve been level at half-time in six of their eight away matches, scoring just one first-half goal in their last six on the road.
This fixture finished 0-0 earlier in the season and three of the four meetings between these two sides since the start of last season have seen fewer than three goals with at least one team failing to score in each of these three games. This one should also be a tight affair as both these sides are struggling for goals somewhat at the moment and so Under 2.5 goals makes appeal at 1.95, as does the half-time draw at 2.25 since Sydney have been level at half-time in 15 of their 21 home games since the start of last season, while Brisbane have been all square at the break in six of their last seven on the road. However, the best bet looks to be for both teams not to score in this one as at least one team has failed to score in seven of Sydney’s last 10 at home and in four of Brisbane’s last six on the road.