Goals look assured when Perth Glory travel to Wellington Phoenix on Sunday afternoon.
A 3-1 defeat at home to bottom of the league Mariners, incidentally their fourth defeat by that scoreline in five games, shows how badly the Phoenix are struggling at the moment and they look in danger of replacing the Mariners at the foot of the table in the coming weeks. Perth meanwhile beat Victory 3-2 at home last weekend and they’ve now scored nine in their last two and are the fourth highest-scoring side in the division. They have some ground to make up on Adelaide in 6th, but they’ll look to distance themselves further from the bottom-three here.
Wellington have now lost five of their last six, conceding 15 goals in these games, though four of these were on the road. Their home record this season is a decent W3-D2-L2 as they’ve beaten Victory, Adelaide and Brisbane and held Sydney to a draw, but lost against the current bottom-two sides, the Mariners and Jets. Both teams have scored in five of their seven home games, though the first half has been goalless in three of their last four at home and three of these games also had fewer than three goals.
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Perth were bottom of the league after eight games having won just one game, but since then they’re W4-D3-L2 as they’ve scored in all of these games, though managed just one clean sheet and as a result seven of these nine matches had at least three goals and five had at least four, including their last four games. However, it’s important to note that six of their last nine have been at home and their away record this season remains a disappointing W1-D1-L6, with that win coming over the Jets and the draw at Victory. They’ve been competitive as they only lost by more than one goal at City, but did trail at half-time in four of these games.
Both these sides have struggled defensively in recent times but not lacked for goals themselves and since four of Phoenix’s last five had Over 3.5 goals, as have Perth’s last four, backing goals in this one look the way to go. We can’t trust Phoenix after their defeat against the Mariners, while Perth have been poor on the road this season so we’re avoiding the match outcome markets in this one.