Central Coast Mariners v Adelaide United - Sunday 15:00, Fox Sports 4

The Mariners were smashed 4-0 at Brisbane last weekend as they’re now four points adrift at the foot of the table and as short as 1.5 to pick up the wooden spoon this season. Adelaide, conversely, are very much a team on an upward curve and a 2-2 draw when hosting Sydney in their last game means that they’re now unbeaten in 10, winning seven of these games. That run means that they’re now up to sixth and just seven points off the leaders heading into this gameweek.

The Mariners have now conceded 42 goals in their 18 games this season (2.33 gpg), failing to keep a clean sheet so far, but managing to score in 15 of their 18 matches. Their home record this season is W2-D2-L5 as they’ve beaten Perth and Wellington, whom they’ve also drawn against, as they did against Victory in their penultimate home game in a remarkable game that saw them squander a 3-0 half-time lead to draw 3-3. Adelaide look very much like a top-half side and the Mariners’ record when hosting these teams since the start of last season is W1-D2-L10 as the failed to score in six of these defeats, six were also by at least two goals and they also trailed at half-time in six of these matches.

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Adelaide are the form team in the division at the moment and should they keep this run going they look set to match and maybe even better their 3rd place finish last term. They’ve won their last two on the road, becoming only the second side to win at the nib Stadium this season, and also were comfortable 4-1 winners at high-flying Brisbane. Indeed, they’ve now scored 13 goals in their last five games, with Cirio and Carrusca in excellent form, both scoring three goals in this time.

Adelaide have won three of their last four meetings with the Mariners and given how well they’re playing they look a very backable price in this one at 1.83. Since four of their last five wins have been by more than one goal thanks to their good scoring form, whilst seven of the Mariners’ last nine home defeats were by at least two goals, we’re backing Adelaide to win this one with some to spare. The Mariners’ top scorer Roy O’Donovan is once again suspended and they could struggle to find the net in his absence, as they did at Brisbane.
Adelaide -1 Asian Handicap - 1pt @ 2.15