Melbourne City have got the better of the Mariners on both previous encounters this season.
City’s draw against the Champions means they’ve now managed just two wins in their last eight and a large reason for that has been their defensive frailty, conceding at least twice in seven of these games. Finding the net themselves hasn’t been a problem for City this season as they’re comfortably the league’s top scorers with 46 goals from their 19 games. Their home record is W5-D2-L2 as they’ve led at the break in seven of these games, but are yet to keep a clean sheet and as a result all nine of their home games have seen at least three goals and seven have had at least four strikes. Their record when hosting bottom-three sides since the start of last season is W4-D2-L1 with both teams scoring in six of these games and five seeing at least four goals.
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The Mariners continue their search for an elusive clean sheet this season as they’ve conceded 45 goals in their 19 games so far, meaning that we have the two worst defences in the division facing each other here. Their away record this season is W1-D1-L7, with the win coming over fellow strugglers Wellington and the draw at the Jets. A 4-0 defeat at Brisbane in their last away game was the first time they’ve failed to score on the road this season and going back to last term, they’ve now lost but scored in 11 of their last 14 away matches. Their record at top-four sides since the start of last season is W0-D0-L10 as they trailed at the break in half of these defeats, but managed to score in eight and yet seven defeats were by more than one goal.
Both teams to score is as short as 1.44 in this one and Over 2.5 goals is just 1.3, and there will surely be goals, but the best bet in this one looks to be backing City to win and both teams to find the net, as has been the case in both the meetings between these two sides this season.