Sydney should be able to avoid defeat in their Saturday night trip to Melbourne City.
City conceded two goals in the first 15 minutes at Wellington on Friday and couldn’t recover after that as they went on to lose 2-1, their third defeat in their last five matches. As a result, they find themselves in 4th and six points behind the Wanderers heading into this gameweek. Sydney, meanwhile, managed to find an equaliser at Victory despite being reduced to 10 men after Jacques Faty saw red after 64 minutes. Nonetheless, Sydney remain winless in six and consequently have slipped down to 6th.
City last kept a clean sheet back in game 10 of the season away at the Jets but are comfortably the division’s top scorers, finding the net 51 times already in their 21 games (2.4 gpg) as their games have seen 89 goals in total (4.2 gpg). Their home record this season is W6-D2-L2 as they’ve led at the break in six of their last seven at AAMI Park but are yet to keep a clean sheet there this season. Their record when hosting top-six teams is W2-D2-L1 as their wins have come over the Wanderers and Victory, but they failed to beat them a few weeks ago, as they did Sydney and the Wanderers earlier in the season. All of their home games this season have seen at least three goals and their last three at top-six sides all saw at least four goals.
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Sydney have drawn three of their last four in tough trips to Victory and Adelaide and at home to the Wanderers, while both teams have scored in their last five. Indeed, Sydney have managed just one clean sheet in their last 12, having been excellent defensively at the start of the season when they kept six clean in their opening nine games. Their away record this term is W3-D5-L2 as they’ve lost at Adelaide and Victory, with their wins coming at the Wanderers, Jets and Mariners. Sydney were unbeaten on the road last season and their record at top-half sides since then is W5-D5-L2 as nine of these 12 games saw at least three goals.
Neither of these sides are in the best of form at the moment but for a team that has lost three of their last five, City look a little short at around 1.91. Sydney are one of the best travelling sides in the division and we think that they can avoid defeat in this one and wouldn’t put anyone off backing the draw at a tempting 4.1.