Adelaide United v Central Coast Mariners

Adelaide’s excellent run was brought to an end with a 1-0 defeat at home to City and they followed that with a goalless draw last weekend in another tough fixture at the Wanderers. After those tricky games they’ll be relieved to have the bottom of the league Mariners at home here, though Tony Walmsley’s side ended a run of six straight defeats as they came back from 2-0 down to salvage a draw at home to Sydney last weekend.

Crazy odds of $29 for Roy O'Donovan to Score and Mariners to Win thanks to Ladbrokes Footy Freaks Offer.

The defeat against City was Adelaide’s first in 14 games and their record in their last 16 is an impressive W11-D4-L1 as they kept nine clean sheets in these games and scored at least twice in nine. Their home record this term is W6-D4-L2 with both of their defeats coming against City. Against bottom-three sides since the start of last season Adelaide are W7-D1-L0 at the Hindmarsh Stadium, as they kept a clean sheet in five of these matches and four of their seven wins were by more than one goal.

The Mariners have lost 17 of their 24 games this season and as a result find themselves 12 points adrift at the foot of the table. They’ve conceded 58 goals already (2.4 gpg) and have picked the ball out of their net at least twice in three-quarters of their games. Their away record is W1-D1-L9 and the only times they avoided defeat were against fellow strugglers Wellington and Newcastle. They’ve conceded at least twice in each of their nine defeats but have managed to score in nine of their 11 road games, though the exceptions came in their last three games. They’ve conceded at least three times in five of their last six on the road and they’ve lost all five of their trips to top-four sides this season, with four of these defeats by more than one goal and their last two by more than two goals at Brisbane and City.

Adelaide are unsurprisingly as short as 1.31 in this one but there are some appealing ways of getting them on side. They’ve kept a clean sheet in four of their last five whilst the Mariners have failed to score in three of their last four and as a result the win to nil is worth consideration at 2.6, as is backing Adelaide to be ahead at half-time and full-time at 1.96 since the Mariners have trailed at the break in their last three games. However, the strongest bet in this one looks to be backing Adelaide to win by more than one goal as they have done in six of their last nine wins, while six of the Mariners’ last nine defeats have also been by at least two goals.
Adelaide United - 1pt @ 1.91